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Monday, July 21, 2008

Mon 7/21/08

PRESIDENTIAL

ALASKA

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/18). Party ID Breakdown: 31%R, 20%D, 49%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+ 5/14
J. McCain 51% 54% 48% 10% 82% 48% 42% 56% 48% 58% 49%
B. Obama 41 39 43 86 8 43 50 34 47 33 42
Undec 8 7 9 4 10 9 8 10 5 9 9
Bush As POTUS
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
Approve 37% 40% 34% 5% 72% 28% 32% 40% 35% 41%
Disapprove 63 60 66 95 28 72 68 60 65 59

MAINE

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
McCain (R) 36%
Obama (D) 46

VIRGINIA

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
McCain (R) 44%
Obama (D) 44

SENATE

ALASKA

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/18). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/14
M. Begich 47% 43% 51% 83% 13% 53% 48%
T. Stevens 45 50 40 7 81 38 43
Undec 8 7 9 10 6 9 9
Fav/Unfav
-          All    Men     Wom     Dem     GOP     Ind
M. Begich 52%/27% 47%/33% 57%/21% 76%/13% 28%/46% 57%/21%
T. Stevens 36 /61 42 /56 30 /66 16 /83 59 /38 30 /66

MAINE

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 17, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
Susan Collins (R) 49%
Tom Allen (D) 42

VIRGINIA

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
Jim Gilmore (R) 34%
Mark Warner (D) 57

HOUSE

AK-AL

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/18). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).

General Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/14
E. Berkowitz 51% 47% 55% 86% 18% 58% 50%
D. Young 40 45 35 6 71 34 40
Undec 9 8 10 8 11 8 10
Fav/Unfav
-           All    Men     Wom     Dem     GOP     Ind
E. Berkowitz 52%/29% 47%/35% 57%/23% 84%/12% 22%/45% 59%/25%
D. Young 37 /61 43 /56 31 /66 11 /88 62 /35 33 /65

AZ-08

A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 6/18-22; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Brown, Politicker AZ, 7/19). Tested: Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D) and state Senate Pres. Tim Bee (R).

General Election Matchup
G. Giffords 59%
T. Bee 35

Name ID
G. Giffords 92%
Fav/Unfav
G. Giffords 57%/26%

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