Mon 7/21/08

PRESIDENTIAL

ALASKA

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/18). Party ID Breakdown: 31%R, 20%D, 49%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-         All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+ 5/14
J. McCain 51% 54% 48% 10% 82% 48% 42%   56%   48%   58% 49%
B. Obama  41  39  43  86   8  43  50    34    47    33  42
Undec      8   7   9   4  10   9   8    10     5     9   9

Bush As POTUS

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
Approve     37% 40% 34%  5% 72% 28% 32%   40%   35%   41%
Disapprove  63  60  66  95  28  72  68    60    65    59

MAINE

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
McCain (R) 36%
Obama (D) 46

VIRGINIA

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
McCain (R) 44%
Obama (D) 44

SENATE

ALASKA

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/18). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R) and Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/14
M. Begich   47% 43% 51% 83% 13% 53% 48%
T. Stevens 45  50  40   7  81  38  43
Undec        8   7   9  10   6   9   9

Fav/Unfav

-          All    Men     Wom     Dem     GOP     Ind
M. Begich   52%/27% 47%/33% 57%/21% 76%/13% 28%/46% 57%/21%
T. Stevens 36 /61  42 /56  30 /66  16 /83  59 /38  30 /66

MAINE

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 17, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
Susan Collins (R) 49%
Tom Allen (D) 42

VIRGINIA

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup
Jim Gilmore (R) 34%
Mark Warner (D) 57

HOUSE

AK-AL

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 7/14-16 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/18). Tested: Rep. Don Young (R) and '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D).

General Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/14
E. Berkowitz    51% 47% 55% 86% 18% 58% 50%
D. Young        40  45  35   6  71  34  40
Undec           9   8  10   8  11   8  10

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Men     Wom     Dem     GOP     Ind
E. Berkowitz 52%/29% 47%/35% 57%/23% 84%/12% 22%/45% 59%/25%
D. Young     37 /61  43 /56  31 /66  11 /88  62 /35  33 /65

AZ-08

A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 6/18-22; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Brown, Politicker AZ, 7/19). Tested: Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D) and state Senate Pres. Tim Bee (R).

General Election Matchup
G. Giffords 59%
T. Bee 35

Name ID
G. Giffords 92%
Fav/Unfav
G. Giffords 57%/26%