CNN/Opinion Research Corp

Environment
Conducted 3/19-21; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/31).

Do You Think Protection Of The Environment Should Be Given Priority, Even At The Risk Of Curbing Economic Growth, Or Should Economic Growth Be Given Priority, Even If The Environment Suffers To Some Extent? (Split Sample)

-                            Now 6/08
Economic growth is priority  51% 44%
Environment is priority      45  49
Both equally                  3   6

Do You Think That The Environmental Laws And Regulations That Are Currently On the Books Are Adequate, Should Go Further Than They Do, Or Have They Gone Too Far Already? (Split Sample)

Adequate           26%
Should go further  43
Have gone too far  29

House 2010

NV-03
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 3/24-25 for ex-state Sen. Joe Heck (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/26). Tested: Heck, '06/'08 Dem candidate/ex-convict/airline investor Barry Michaels (I) and Rep. Dina Titus (D).

General Election Matchup

J. Heck       40%
D. Titus      35
B. Michaels    7
Undec         26

Re-Elect Titus?

Re-elect her  27%
Replace her   37

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama      42%/53%
D. Titus      37 /52
H. Reid       34 /61
N. Pelosi     29 /60

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 407 Dem primary voters and 457 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 3/30). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), inventor Sam Franklin Thomas (D), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R), '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R), financial adviser James Potts (R) and businessman Charles Taylor (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                   All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
A. Davis            38% 37% 39% 29% 48% 20%
R. Sparks           28  35  22  33  23  33
S. Franklin Thomas   9   7  10   9   9  13
Undec               25  20  29  29  21  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    27% 31% 24%
R. Moore    23  24  22
R. Bentley  10  11   9
K. Ivey     10   8  12
T. James     9  10   9
B. Johnson   1   1   1
J. Potts     0  --   0
C. Taylor   --  --  --
Undec       20  16  24

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Davis    28%/34% 36%/35% 23%/33% 31%/26% 28%/38%  7%/67%
R. Sparks   27 /17  40 /15  16 /18  30 /17  25 /15  13 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
R. Moore    48%/28% 50%/30% 46%/26%
B. Byrne    31 / 9  31 /10  31 / 8
T. James    20 /21  27 /22  14 /20
K. Ivey     20 /26  19 /29  21 /24

Obama As POTUS (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Approve     84% 85% 83% 68% 98% 87%
Disapprove  13  14  12  26   1   7

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 662 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 3/30). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and venture capitalist Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Hoekstra  27%
R. Snyder    18
M. Cox       13
M. Bouchard   6
Other         5
Undec        32

Fav/Unfav

P. Hoekstra  54%/13%
M. Cox       45 /23
R. Synder    40 /14
M. Bouchard  37 /19

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   88

Granholm As Gov.

Approve      10%
Disapprove   89

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     52% 55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     29  30  35   29    26
Other         6   5   5    6     5
Undec        13  10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     50%
S. Levy      26
Other         7
Undec        17

-            Now 3/1
A. Cuomo     51% 56%
C. Paladino  28  27
Other         6   6
Undec        15  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14
A. Cuomo     60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32%
R. Lazio     46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a
S. Levy      33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
T. Strickland  43% 80%  9% 34% 44% 42% 44%  40%  46%  43% 51%
J. Kasich      38   9  75  38  41  35  39   40   36   38  32
Other           1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1    2    2   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1   1   2    1    1    1   1
Undec          17  10  15  26  14  21  15   18   15   16  16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        49% 71% 26% 46% 46% 50% 48%  45%  48%  46% 57%
Disapprove     40  19  64  42  45  36  40   43   42   42  29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
T. Strickland  46%/35% 72%/12% 24%/57% 41%/39% 45%/36% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      24 /10  10 /17  43 / 4  25 / 9  26 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        35% 58% 16% 30% 36% 34% 35%  33%  33%  33% 43%
Disapprove     52  30  72  56  53  50  53   52   54   53  43

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Approve        37% 55% 19% 35% 41% 34% 32%  36%  32% 43% 44%
Disapprove     47  30  66  49  46  47  51   47   53  40  36

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
Yes  36% 51% 22% 32% 37% 34% 34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No   41  29  55  41  42  40  45   43   40   40  32  30   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  38% 67% 12% 31% 41% 36% 35%  33%
J. Kasich      38  14  67  39  42  34  41   41
No difference   2   2   1   3   2   2   2   --
Undec          22  16  20  27  15  28  22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      39% 14% 69% 42% 44% 35% 42%  42%
T. Strickland  38  68  11  31  38  37  36   34
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   --
Undec          21  16  18  25  16  26  21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  40% 70% 16% 33% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich      35  12  62  35  39  31  36
No difference   5   3   3   8   5   5   6
Undec          20  15  18  24  16  24  22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 72% 14% 37% 45% 40% 40%
J. Kasich      34   9  64  35  38  30  36
No difference   2   1   2   3   1   3   3
Undec          22  18  20  24  15  27  21

Senate 2010

Missouri
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 400 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/31). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and state Sen. Chuck Purgason (R)

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom 11/15
R. Blunt      48% 50% 46% 53%
C. Purgason   18  17  19  16
Undec         34  32  35  31

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
R. Blunt      47%/19% 51%/23% 43%/14%
C. Purgason    7 / 9   4 /13   9 / 5
Cong. GOPers  57 /31  53 /38  62 /23

North Carolina
A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 3/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 535 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/29).

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
R. Burr        32%/24% 23%/33% 45%/14% 33%/21%
E. Marshall    14 /17  22 /17   9 /19   6 /17
M. Williams     8 /12  13 /12   6 /11   1 /14
K. Lewis        7 /15   8 /13   6 /17   7 /20
B. Jones        6 / 8   5 / 9   9 / 7   5 / 9
A. Worthy       6 /12  11 /11   2 /12   4 /16
C. Cunningham   5 /11   5 / 7   3 /14   7 /15
S. Harris       5 /12   7 /11   4 /13   3 /14
E. Burks        4 /11   3 /13   5 /10   5 /10
B. Beitler      4 /12   1 /12   6 /12   3 /12
L. Linney       1 / 9   1 / 7   0 / 9   0 /11

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
J. Brunner  38% 77%  2% 31% 38% 38% 35%  34%  39%  35% 40%
R. Portman  37   5  78  38  39  35  40   38   34   34  32
Other        1  --  --   1   1   1  --   --    1    1  --
Not vote     1   1   1   1  --   1   2    1    1    1  --
Undec       23  17  18  29  21  24  23   27   25   29  27

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
L. Fisher   41% 79%  7% 31% 39% 42% 37%  36%  42%  37% 42%
R. Portman  37   6  76  41  42  33  40   39   31   33  31
Other        1  --  --   1   1  --  --   --    1    2   1
Not vote     1   1   1  --  --   1   2    1    1    2  --
Undec       21  14  17  27  18  23  21   24   26   26  26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve     43% 59% 26% 41% 43% 42% 39%  39%  44%  39% 49%
Disapprove  23  11  37  23  28  18  22   23   21   24  17

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve     42% 63% 21% 39% 45% 39% 36%  38%  41%  38% 45%
Disapprove  23   8  40  25  27  20  25   25   23   25  20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
L. Fisher   27%/13% 41%/ 6% 11%/21% 25%/12% 26%/12% 25%/15%
R. Portman  25 / 8  10 /19  40 / 2  28 / 4  25 / 7  22 / 7
J. Brunner  21 /12  38 / 3   5 /25  20 /12  21 /12  20 /18

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support     44% 84%  7% 36% 42% 46%
Oppose      46  10  85  52  50  42

SD-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/29). Tested: Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D), state Sen. Blake Curd (R), Sec/State Chris Nelson (R) and state Rep. Kristi Noem (R).

General Election Matchups

-                   Now 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin  45% 51%
B. Curd             33  33
Other                8   5
Undec               14  12

-                   Now 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin  44% 45%
C. Nelson           42  38
Other                6   6
Undec                9  11

-                   Now 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin  46% 49%
K. Noem             35  34
Other                8   4
Undec               10  13

Fav/Unfav

S. Herseth Sandlin  52%/43%

Governor 2010

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D) and LG Duke Aiona (R).

General Election Matchups

N. Abercrombie  54%           M. Hannemann    50%
D. Aiona        31            D. Aiona        29
Other            6            Other           14
Undec            9            Undec            7

Fav/Unfav

N. Abercrombie  63%/33%
M. Hannemann    57 /39
D. Aiona        50 /41

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/28). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

D. Denish        52%
J. Arnold-Jones  30
Other             6
Undec            12

D. Denish        52%
P. Domenici Jr.  35
Other             6
Undec             6

D. Denish        51%
S. Martinez      32
Other             7
Undec            10

D. Denish        43%
D. Turner        34
Other             7
Undec            16

D. Denish        45%
A. Weh           35
Other             7
Undec            13

Fav/Unfav

D. Denish        55%/43%
P. Domenici Jr.  44 /39
D. Turner        33 /30
A. Weh           33 /31
S. Martinez      30 /29
J. Arnold-Jones  26 /32

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/25; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/29). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/25
L. Chafee      39% 37%
F. Caprio      28  27
J. Robitaille  22  19
Undec          11  17

-              Now 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 38%
J. Robitaille  26  22
P. Lynch       22  24
Undec          15  16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/25
L. Chafee      57%/37% 55%/37%
F. Caprio      53 /29  52 /28
P. Lynch       45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  35 /29  31 /31

Senate 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 3/23-25; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4/9% (release, 3/26). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-         Now 6/26 5/18
M. Rubio  48% 23%  18%
C. Crist  37  51   53
Undec     15  26   29

General Election Matchups

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/26 5/18
C. Crist  50% 36% 69% 43% 51% 49% 48%  55%
K. Meek   26  45   6  24  24  28  26   24
Undec     24  19  25  33  25  23  26   21

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Rubio  44% 16% 72% 50% 47% 41%
K. Meek   29  55   3  23  29  29
Undec     27  29  25  27  24  30

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     6/26    5/18
C. Crist  37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15%
M. Rubio  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5
K. Meek   15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-         Now     6/26    5/18
M. Rubio  42%/10  24%/ 5% 20%/ 2%
C. Crist  37 /32  49 /22  50 /19

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye   65%
L. Lingle   25
Other        3
Undec        6

Lingle As Gov.

Approve     45%
Disapprove  52

Fav/Unfav

D. Inouye   76%/20%
L. Lingle   45 /54

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/29).

Schumer As Sen.

-               All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good  51% 67% 33% 45% 53%  47%  51%  54%   58%
Fair/poor       45  29  64  52  43   48   42   42    39

A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/29). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and ex-Bush foreign policy adviser Dan Senor (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      62% 71% 51%
J. DioGuardi    7   2  13
B. Blakeman     4   2   5
D. Malpass      2   2   2
D. Senor        2   3   1
Undec          23  20  27

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   18% 12% 25%
B. Blakeman    10  12   6
D. Malpass      9   8  10
D. Senor        4   6   3
Undec          59  62  56

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
K. Gillibrand  54% 75% 26% 52% 51% 58% 58%  52%
B. Blakeman    25   8  53  23  31  19  28   30
Undec          21  17  22  25  18  23  14   18

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  54% 74% 24% 53% 52% 55%
J. DioGuardi   27  10  55  24  32  21
Undec          19  16  21  23  15  24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  54% 74% 27% 50% 51% 57%
D. Malpass     25   9  50  25  31  19
Undec          21  17  23  25  18  24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17
G. Pataki      47% 26% 74% 51% 52% 42% 48%  49%  42%  47%
K. Gillibrand  45  64  19  41  42  48  45   43   45   45
Undec           8   9   7   8   6  11   7    8   13    8

Gillibrand As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 27% 34% 19% 24% 25%  24%  24%  25%   26%  24%
Fair/poor      51  43  61  52  53   51   51   51    47   43

House 2010

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/25). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/10
R. Berg     51% 46%
E. Pomeroy  44  40
Other        1   3
Undec        4  11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/10
R. Berg     56%/22%  n/a
E. Pomeroy  48 /49  48 /46

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/2    9/10
M. Beebe    67%/23% 87%/ 7% 41%/50% 71%/13% 64%/24% 66%/23%

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/26). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
R. Lazio    53% 58% 47%
S. Levy     21  22  19
Undec       26  20  35

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
A. Cuomo    61% 84% 27% 61% 56% 66% 64%  64%
R. Lazio    30   9  64  27  37  23  28   27
Undec        9   7   9  12   7  11   8    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo    65% 84% 36% 63% 58% 72%
S. Levy     26  10  55  24  34  19
Undec        9   6  10  13   8   9

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/8 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good  61% 73% 49% 54% 54% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%
Fair/poor       34  22  44  42  39  28  32   30   28    26

Thinking About How To Turn State Gov't Around In Albany, If Cuomo Is Elected Gov., Do You Think He Is More Likely To Be Part Of The Solution Or Part Of The Problem?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Solution    66% 74% 50% 71% 65% 68%
Problem     22  11  38  21  26  17

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 12/2
B. Lincoln  44% 48% 42% 47% 30% 42%
B. Halter   31  28  33  31  30  26
Undec       25  24  25  22  40  32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    49% 17% 85% 51% 53% 45% 41%  37%
B. Lincoln  41  76   5  36  37  45  42   44
Undec       10   7  10  13  10  10  17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman  49% 17% 84% 52% 54% 44%
B. Lincoln  42  77   6  37  38  46
Undec        9   6  10  11   8  10

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  47% 14% 83% 50% 52% 42% 39%  37%
B. Lincoln  44  79   6  40  40  48  44   45
Undec        9   7  11  10   8  10  17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      47% 13% 84% 50% 51% 43% 31%  29%
B. Lincoln  43  78   5  39  39  47  45   46
Undec       10   9  11  11  10  10  24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  48% 16% 83% 51% 52% 44% 30%  28%
B. Lincoln  43  78   6  38  40  46  46   47
Undec        9   6  11  11   8  10  24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
G. Baker    46% 11% 83% 50% 51% 41% 42%
B. Halter   44  80   7  39  39  49  34
Undec       10   9  10  11  10  10  24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman  48% 15% 84% 51% 52% 44%
B. Halter   40  74   5  36  37  43
Undec       12  11  11  13  11  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter   45% 82%  7% 40% 40% 50% 35%
C. Coleman  44   9  82  47  49  39  40
Undec       11   9  11  13  11  11  25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter   45% 82%  7% 40% 40% 50% 36%
T. Cox      43   8  81  46  49  37  32
Undec       12  10  12  14  11  13  32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
K. Hendren  45% 12% 82% 49% 50% 40% 31%
B. Halter   44  79   7  39  40  48  36
Undec       11   9  11  12  10  12  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/2    9/10
B. Halter   46%/27% 68%/10% 21%/48% 45%/26% 36%/25%  n/a
J. Boozman  44 /30  18 /50  75 / 9  43 /28   n/a     n/a
B. Lincoln  42 /52  62 /34  21 /69  40 /56  41 /50  43%/49%
G. Baker    36 /28  16 /47  61 / 9  35 /25  31 /25  14 /13
K. Hendren  34 /27  13 /46  60 / 7  33 /25  30 /24   6 / 9
C. Coleman  34 /29  15 /48  58 / 9  32 /26  29 /24  12 /13
T. Cox      32 /26  11 /45  56 / 7  32 /23  28 /23   8 / 7

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 2/10
J. Hoeven  68% 71%
T. Potter  25  17
Other       2   4
Undec       5   8

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven  83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Washington
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 35%D, 26%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-WA GOP chair Don Benton (R), Rep. Dave Reichert (R-08) and 04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    55% 86%  9% 57% 50% 60% 54%   57%   58%   46%
P. Akers     28   7  62  25  32  24  29    27    25    34
Undec        17   7  29  18  18  16  17    16    17    20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    54% 85%  8% 56% 48% 60% 54%   55%   58%   45%
D. Benton    35   7  77  33  40  30  36    35    31    41
Undec        11   8  15  11  12  10  10    10    11    14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    51% 83%  8% 51% 47% 55% 49%   52%   54%   43%
D. Reichert  43  12  83  44  48  38  46    42    39    51
Undec         6   5   9   5   5   7   5     6     7     6

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    52% 84%  7% 53% 47% 57% 50%   53%   56%   43%
D. Rossi     41  10  84  41  47  35  44    40    37    49
Undec         7   6   9   6   6   8   6     7     7     8

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray    52%/41% 76%/19% 22%/71% 51%/40% 47%/47% 57%/35%
D. Rossi     47 /47  24 /70  80 /13  46 /49  53 /43  41 /51
D. Reichert  41 /33  23 /50  66 /10  40 /34  46 /30  36 /36
D. Benton    23 /35   9 /46  48 /14  20 /39  24 /33  22 /37
P. Akers     17 / 9   8 /14  32 / 5  15 / 7  19 / 8  15 /10

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sodrel and Rep. Baron Hill (D). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 3/12's House Race Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

B. Hill    43%
M. Sodrel  42

Fav/Unfav

B. Hill    52%/32%

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sodrel and Rep. Baron Hill (D). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 3/12's House Race Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

B. Hill    43%
M. Sodrel  42

Fav/Unfav

B. Hill    52%/32%

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 1/19
M. Whitman  61% 61% 61% 41%
S. Poizner  11  10  13  11
Other        3   3   2   4
Undec       25  26  24  44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    46% 73% 17% 41% 41% 50% 44%  47%
S. Poizner  31   7  60  28  36  26  29   31
Undec       23  20  23  31  23  24  27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
M. Whitman  44% 17% 77% 43% 49% 40% 36%  37%
J. Brown    39  65  10  37  34  43  41   43
Undec       17  18  13  20  17  17  23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 1/19 12/8
Very closely        17% 11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  34   33
Not too closely     28  42   36
Not at all closely   8  12   20

In General, Would You Say You Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied       46% 47% 51% 39% 45% 48%
Not satisfied   38  38  35  41  40  37

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  47% 48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      36  35   35  39    35    34
Other         5   4    5   5     5     7
Undec        12  12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

B. Haslam     46%             B. Haslam     45%
K. McMillan   26              M. McWherter  27
Other          5              Other          5
Undec         23              Undec         23

R. Ramsey     43%             R. Ramsey     43%
K. McMillan   25              M. McWherter  29
Other          8              Other          5
Undec         24              Undec         23

Z. Wamp       42%             Z. Wamp       41%
K. McMillan   29              M. McWherter  31
Other          5              Other          7
Undec         25              Undec         22

Fav/Unfav

B. Haslam     53%/18%
R. Ramsey     43 /23
Z. Wamp       42 /27
M. McWherter  34 /32
K. McMillan   33 /26

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 31%R, 35%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
M. Neumann  43%  8% 82% 43% 48% 39% 39%
T. Barrett  38  78   7  26  34  40  41
Undec       19  15  12  31  18  21  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
S. Walker   42%  7% 82% 41% 49% 37% 40%
T. Barrett  39  80   5  29  36  41  40
Undec       19  13  13  30  15  22  20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
S. Walker   31%/27% 14%/39% 49%/11% 31%/28% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  29 /22  44 /13  13 /38  28 /17  31 /21
M. Neumann  24 /27  13 /40  31 /15  30 /24  16 /27

Senate 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/19
C. Fiorina   24% 25% 24% 16%
T. Campbell  23  28  19  27
C. DeVore     8  10   7   8
Other         1   1   2   1
Undec        44  36  48  48

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
T. Campbell  44% 10% 81% 48% 51% 38% 41%
B. Boxer     43  79   8  32  36  50  45
Undec        13  11  11  20  13  12  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
B. Boxer     46% 79% 11% 41% 39% 53% 47%
C. DeVore    40   9  78  35  47  34  39
Undec        14  12  11  24  14  13  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
B. Boxer     44% 79%  8% 35% 36% 51% 48%
C. Fiorina   43   9  82  41  49  37  40
Undec        13  12  10  24  15  12  12

In General, Would You Say Your Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied       55% 63% 53% 46% 55% 54%
Not satisfied   28  24  27  38  30  27

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        51% 51%  50%
C. Cunningham  32  29   34
Other           7   6    5
Undec          11  14   11

-              Now 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        51% 50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    35  34   37   38
Other           6   4    6    3
Undec           8  12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 39%R, 19%I. Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  38% 12% 67% 37% 41% 35%
J. Brunner  37  68  10  25  36  39
Undec       24  20  22  38  23  26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  41%  9% 77% 37% 46% 37%
L. Fisher   36  67   8  25  34  38
Undec       23  24  15  38  20  26

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
L. Fisher   22%/24% 33%/15% 13%/30% 15%/28% 23%/29% 20%/19%
R. Portman  16 /19  10 /25  24 /10  12 /23  17 /25  15 /13
J. Brunner  15 /22  24 /16   8 /29  12 /23  16 /28  15 /17

House 2010

UT-01
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 135 adults; margin of error +/- 8.4% (release, 3/24).

Bishop As Rep.

-           Now 1/09
Approve     62% 62%
Disapprove  19  17

UT-02
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 135 adults; margin of error +/- 8.4% (release, 3/24).

Matheson As Rep.

-           Now 1/09
Approve     57% 87%
Disapprove  39   7

UT-3rd
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 136 adults; margin of error +/- 8.4% (release, 3/24).

Chaffetz As Rep.

-           Now 1/09
Approve     69% 45%
Disapprove  16  12

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
T. Branstad       52% 53%  54%         
C. Culver         36  37   34          
Other              6   6    8          
Undec              6   4    4 

C. Culver         40%
R. Roberts        38
Other             10
Undec             13

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
B. Vander Plaats  42% 46%  43%
C. Culver         40  40   39
Other              8   7    9
Undec             11   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/18    9/22
T. Branstad       61%/33% 57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /31  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         39 /55  42 /55  43 /50
R. Roberts        30 /28   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      42% 10% 73% 47% 47% 37%
T. Strickland  37  70  10  24  36  39
Undec          21  10  17  29  18  24

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve        33% 53% 14% 28% 35% 31%
Disapprove     47  23  69  54  50  44

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
J. Kasich      25%/24% 14%/30% 37%/17% 28%/25%

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     7   6    4    9
J. Hoeffel    5   6    4    6
A. Williams   4   1   n/a  n/a
Other         2   9   10    9
Undec        71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   28% 26%  23%
S. Rohrer     4   4    5
Other         2   5    3
Undec        66  65   69

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/21
T. Corbett   22%/ 7% 21%/ 6%

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

B. Dubie      52%
S. Bartlett   26
Other          7
Undec         14

B. Dubie      51%
M. Dunne      29
Other          6
Undec         14

B. Dubie      46%
D. Markowitz  39
Other          4
Undec         10

B. Dubie      48%
D. Racine     35
Other          5
Undec         12

B. Dubie      51%
P. Shumlin    33
Other          6
Undec         10

Fav/Unfav

B. Dubie      61%/29%
D. Markowitz  53 /33
D. Racine     45 /33
P. Shumlin    37 /45
S. Bartlett   29 /42
M. Dunne      29 /42

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist    45% 48%  48%  42%   46%   48%  46%
K. Meek     34  32   33   36    34    29   28
Other       11  11   10   11     9    10   12
Undec       10   9    9   11    11    13   14

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio    48% 51%  49%  49%   46%   43%
K. Meek     34  31   32   35    31    30
Other        6   7    6    4     8     8
Undec       11  11   13   12    15    19

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve     45% 52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove  54  45   47   45    49

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19   8/17
C. Crist    49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35%
M. Rubio    48 /34  51 /27  51 /31  41 /33  33 /34  41 /31
K. Meek     33 /39  42 /33  38 /36  51 /29  39 /34  37 /34

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 3/14-17; surveyed 579 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/22).

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/25
R. Burr        34%/17% 30%/23%
E. Marshall    18 / 8  19 / 8
S. Harris      11 / 9   n/a
C. Cunningham  10 / 7   6 / 9
K. Lewis        9 / 7   9 / 7
A. Worthy       9 / 6   n/a
B. Jones        7 / 6   6 / 8
M. Williams     7 / 6   9 / 7
E. Burks        6 / 6   7 / 7
M. Beitler      6 / 4   4 / 6
L. Linney       5 / 6   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 964 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Further subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), businessman Joe Vodvarka (D), '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21
A. Specter   32% 33%  30%  30%   37%  33%
J. Sestak    12  16   13   18    11   13
J. Vodvarka   0  n/a  n/a  n/a   n/a  n/a
Other         4   7    7    5     6    6
Undec        52  44   50   47    46   48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

P. Toomey    30%
P. Luksik     4
Other         2
Undec        64

General Election Matchups (RVs)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey    33% 11% 64% 32% 43% 23% 29%  30%  31%   29%
A. Specter   29  46  10  17  25  32  33   30   33    37
Other         6   6   4  14   7   5   9    5    6     9
Undec        32  38  22  37  25  39  29   35   30    25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey    27%  7% 52% 35% 34% 19% 25%  28%  28%   26%
J. Sestak    19  34   4   5  19  19  22   16   20    22
Other         5   6   3   6   5   5   6    5    4     6
Undec        49  53  42  53  42  56  47   51   48    46

Re-Elect Specter? (RVs)

-                    Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection  28% 25%  29%  23%   34%  28%  40%  49%
Time for a change    61  63   60   66    54   57   46   40
Undec                11  12   11   11    12   15   14   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/21    1/24    10/25   8/31    6/21
A. Specter   30%/45% 32%/45% 35%/43% 28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37%
P. Toomey    18 /10  16 / 7  15 / 7  16 /10  18 /10   n/a
J. Sestak    11 / 6  10 / 3   8 / 6  11 / 5  13 / 4   n/a

Specter As Sen.

-                Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/09 8/07
Excellent/good   30% 30%  34%  29%   35%  34%  52%  43%  51%
Only fair/poor   63  62   58   64    57   55   37   49   45

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 406 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/24).

Bennett As Sen.

-           Now 11/23 1/09
Approve     54% 58%   68%
Disapprove  37  31    20

Gallup Poll 2010

Energy/Climate
Conducted 3/4-7; surveyed 1,014 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/22).
Do You Favor/Oppose The Use Of Nuclear Energy As One Of The Ways To Provide Electricity For The U.S.?

-       Now 3/09 3/07 3/06 3/05 3/04 3/01 2/94
Favor   62% 59%  53%  56%  54%  56%  46%  57%
Oppose  33  37   43   38   43   39   48   37

House 2010

IL-11
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 3/21-22 for Afghan war veteran Adam Kinzinger (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Kinzinger and Rep. Debbie Halvorson (D).

General Election Matchups

A. Kinzinger   44%
D. Halvorson   38
Undec          16

Generic GOPer  43%
Generic Dem    33
Undec          21

Fav/Unfav

D. Halvorson   33%/31%
A. Kinzinger   19 / 5

Obama As POTUS

Approve        45%
Disapprove     52

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 1/20 11/18 9/24
T. Goddard  45% 43%  44%   42%
J. Brewer   36  41   35    35
Other       12   7    9    13
Undec        7   9   12    11

-           Now 1/20 11/18
D. Martin   43% 44%  38%
T. Goddard  38  35   40
Other        6   6   11
Undec       13  14   11

B. Mills    43%
T. Goddard  37
Other        7
Undec       13

T. Goddard  42%
J. Munger   36
Other       13
Undec        9

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     41% 37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  55  60   57    57   48   45

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     1/20    11/18   9/24
T. Goddard  54%/31% 54%/32% 51%/35% 54%/38%
D. Martin   47 /23  43 /28  41 /27   n/a
J. Brewer   38 /57  42 /53  44 /48  42 /54
B. Mills    35 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Munger   33 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a

California
A Field Poll; conducted 3.9-15 for the CA HealthCare Foundation; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23).

How Important Is ___ In Deciding For Whom You Will Vote For GOV?

-                       MostImportant Important NotImportant
Jobs/economy            69%           28%        3%
State budget deficit    68            28         4
Education               60            35         5
Health care             51            40         9
Taxes                   47            41        10
Illegal immigration     37            45        17
Water                   36            51        12
Gas prices/energy       29            54        16
Crime/prisons           28            59        13
Enviro protection       26            51        23
Reform CA consitution   25            36        33
Global warming          23            41        35

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22).

Culver As Gov.

-            Now 2/18 9/22
Approve      41% 41%  43%
Disapprove   55  57   53

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 494 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio    56% 54%  49%  43%   35%   31%
C. Crist    34  36   37   43    49    53
Other        1   4    3    5     4     5
Undec        8   7   11    9    12    11

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 2/18 12/14 10/20
Approve     49% 48%  56%   57%
Disapprove  48  49   43    42

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio    65%/19% 67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist    59 /40  54 /44  62 /37  61 /38  67 /32  75 /23

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17-18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/17
D. Coats       49% 46%
B. Ellsworth   34  32
Other           6   7
Undec          12  15

-              Now 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 46%
B. Ellsworth   32  27
Other           4   7
Undec          15  19

-              Now 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 40%
B. Ellsworth   34  30
Other           6   9
Undec          18  21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/17    1/24
D. Coats       53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley  55% 53%  59%
R. Conlin    36  36   31
Other         4   5    4
Undec         5   6    5

-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley  57% 56%  61%
T. Fiegen    28  28   25
Other         7   6    4
Undec         9  11   10

-            Now 2/18 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley  57% 55%  59%  56%
B. Krause    31  33   26   30
Other         4   5    7    7
Undec         8   8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/18    1/26    9/22
C. Grassley  66%/31% 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin    39 /39  35 /45  35 /45   n/a
B. Krause    33 /25  27 /31  27 /35  33 /30
T. Fiegen    23 /31  22 /34  23 /37   n/a

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy       58%
Generic GOPer  33
Other           2
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

P. Leahy       66%/32%

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov/ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold  47% 89%  9% 40% 41% 52% 50%
T. Thompson  44   8  83  45  50  39  41
Undec         9   4   8  14   9   8  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold  48% 89%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%
T. Wall      34   5  70  32  43  27  34
Undec        18   7  22  25  16  20  19

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold  48% 89% 10% 42% 43% 53% 47%
D. Westlake  31   4  64  28  39  25  32
Undec        21   8  26  29  19  23  21

Feingold As Sen

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
Approve      45% 73% 14% 46% 40% 49% 45%
Disapprove   41  13  71  43  51  34  37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
T. Thompson  40%/44% 12%/73% 70%/16% 40%/40% 38%/45%
T. Wall       4 /17   2 /22   8 /14   2 /14   2 /13
D. Westlake   2 / 8   3 /10   2 / 9   2 / 6   2 / 9

House 2010

CA-19
A KFSN-TV poll; conducted 3/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 418 Dem primary LVs and 458 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 4.6% (release, 3/18). Tested: '94 CA-20 GOP candidate/'98 CA-20 candidate John Estrada (D), physician/atty Loraine Goodwin (D), ex-actor Les Marsden (D), state Sen. Jeff Denham (R), ex-Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson (R), ex-CA-11 Rep. Richard Pombo (R) and Fresno Council Pres. Larry Westerlund (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. Estrada     24% 24% 24% 12% 21% 52%  9%
L. Goodwin     14  17  13  15  15  14  12
L. Marsden      8   9   7  11   9   0  14
Undec          54  50  57  61  54  34  65

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
J. Patterson   26% 31% 21%
J. Denham      25  25  25
R. Pombo       13  14  11
L. Westerlund   7   9   5
Undec          29  21  38

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Martin  21%
J. Brewer  20
B. Mills   19
J. Munger  10
Other       7
Undec      23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     11/18
D. Martin  54%/14% 60%/10%
J. Brewer  52 /44  54 /40
B. Mills   43 /12   n/a
J. Munger  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I. Tested: State Sen. Paula Dockery (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 11/18
B. McCollum  47% 51% 42% 45%
P. Dockery    9   7  12   9
Undec        44  42  46  46

Geneal Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
B. McCollum  41%  9% 77% 36% 47% 35% 48%  3% 36% 35%
A. Sink      35  65   5  34  30  40  27  73  47  33
Undec        24  26  18  30  23  25  25  24  17  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
A. Sink      37% 67%  5% 38% 33% 41% 29% 75% 49% 35%
P. Dockery   15   4  29  11  17  13  18   3   8  13
Undec        48  29  66  51  50  46  53  22  43  52

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/18
B. McCollum  44%/29% 26%/51% 63%/ 7% 41%/29% 39%/24%
A. Sink      27 /24  51 /11   5 /37  24 /23  25 / 9
P. Dockery   12 / 7   6 /12  21 / 4   8 / 5   9 / 4

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/18). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
M. Neumann  46% 44%           S. Walker   48% 49%
T. Barrett  42  42            T. Barrett  42  40
Other        4   4            Other        2   1
Undec        8  10            Undec        8  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/17
S. Walker   55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  53 /34  49 /36

Senate 2010

Florida
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested in both primaries. In general-election matchups, he was tested in a three-way matchup as an indie, and as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-         All Men Wom Wht Blk His
K. Meek   24% 21% 26% 18% 45% 27%
C. Crist  21  25  18  23  12  24
Undec     55  54  56  59  43  49

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-         All Men Wom 11/18
M. Rubio  58% 67% 46% 37%
C. Crist  30  23  40  47
Undec     12  10  14  16

General Election Matchups

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18 1/09
C. Crist  45% 14% 79% 42% 50% 40% 53%  4% 38% 50%   49%
K. Meek   36  67   5  35  32  40  28  79  44  33    28
Undec     19  19  16  23  18  20  19  17  18  17    23

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18 1/09
M. Rubio  41%  8% 80% 33% 47% 35% 48%  3% 35% 30%   22%
K. Meek   40  75   5  38  35  45  32  82  49  38    31
Undec     19  17  15  29  18  20  20  15  16  32    47

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
M. Rubio  32% 10% 58% 24% 38% 26% 39%  3% 18% 27%
C. Crist  29  21  33  36  30  28  33   4  29  32
K. Meek   27  56   4  20  24  30  18  74  38  31
Undec     12  13   5  20   8  16  10  19  15  10

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
M. Rubio  40% 15% 66% 39% 46% 34% 49%  4% 19% 34%
C. Crist  38  53  29  30  36  40  33  53  56  45
Undec     22  32   5  31  18  26  18  43  25  21

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/18   1/09
C. Crist  44%/45% 41%/50% 48%/40% 43%/45% 59%/32% 65%/23%
M. Rubio  29 /36  13 /52  48 /18  26 /38  21 /22  11 /17
K. Meek   25 /18  44 / 9   6 /28  25 /17  23 / 9  18 / 7

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/18). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 2/17 1/26
T. Thompson  47% 48%  47%
R. Feingold  45  43   43
Other         3   6    6
Undec         4   4    4

-            Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
R. Feingold  49% 47%          R. Feingold  51% 47%
T. Wall      40  39           D. Westlake  35  37
Other         3   6           Other         5   6
Undec         9   7           Undec        10  10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/17    1/26
T. Thompson  59%/39% 63%/34% 56%/39%
R. Feingold  51 /47  50 /48  47 /48
T. Wall      39 /28  34 /35   n/a
D. Westlake  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

House 2010

PA-12
A Pittsburgh Tribune-Review poll; conducted 3/14-15 by Susquehanna Polling & Research (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Subsamples of 261 Dem primary LVs and 119 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.1% and 9.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Party reg. breakdown: 65%D, 30%R, 4%I. Tested: Navy vet. Ryan Bucchianeri (D), Cambria Co. Controller Ed Cernic (D), ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D), atty Ron Mackell Jr. (D), businessman Tim Burns (R) and '08 nominee William Russell (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

M. Critz       30%
E. Cernic       4
R. Mackell      2
R. Buccianeri   2
None/other      4
Undec          59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

W. Russell     32%
T. Burns       30
None/other      1
Undec          37

Special Election Matchups

M. Critz       36%
T. Burns       31
None/other      2
Undec          31

Generic Dem    44%
Generic GOPer  34
Indie/other     2
Undec          21

Obama As POTUS

Approve        41%
Disapprove     50

Cong. Job Approval

Approve        16%
Disapprove     76

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.     22%
Wrong dir.     68

The Health Care Reform Bill Supported By Obama And Nat'l Dems In DC

Support        33%
Oppose         54

The Principles Of The Tea Party Movement

Support        38%
Oppose         20

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 549 Dem RVs and 387 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund head/ex-state Rep. Juan Figueroa (D), '06 LG nominee/Simsbury first selectwoman Mary Glassman (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D), Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton (R), ex-Rep./ex-state Sen./ex-Univ. of New Haven pres. Larry DeNardis (R), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Oz Griebel (R), First Selectman Tom Marsh (R) and Newington mayor Jeff Wright (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
N. Lamont    28% 33% 24%
D. Malloy    18  15  20
M. Glassman   4   3   5
R. Marconi    2   3   2
J. Figueroa   1  --   2
Other         1   1  --
Not vote      2   4   1
Undec        44  41  46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/19
T. Foley     30% 33% 27% 17%
M. Boughton   4   4   4   6
M. Fedele     4   4   3   8
L. DeNardis   2   3   2   4
J. Wright     2   3  --  n/a
O. Griebel    2   2   1   2
T. Marsh     --  --   1  n/a
Other         2   2   2   2
Not vote      3   2   5   2
Undec        50  47  54  59

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
N. Lamont    43%/13% 47%/17% 41%/10%
D. Malloy    35 / 9  33 /14  36 / 6
M. Glassman  12 / 5  11 / 3  12 / 6
R. Marconi    6 / 3   7 / 5   6 / 1
J. Figueroa   5 / 1   4 / 2   6 /--

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Foley     37%/ 6% 42%/ 7% 31%/ 3%
M. Fedele    11 / 8  11 / 9  12 / 6
M. Boughton   9 / 5  13 / 7   4 / 4
L. DeNardis   6 / 9   6 / 9   6 / 9
J. Wright     5 / 2   8 / 2   2 / 1
O. Griebel    5 / 3   5 / 3   4 / 4
T. Marsh      5 / 4   5 / 3   5 / 6

Michigan
An Inside Michigan Politics poll; conducted 3/10-15 by Marketing Resource Group; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 175 Dem primary LVs and 245 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 7.4% and 6.3%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         21%
V. Bernero         9
A. Wheeler Smith   6
Undec             64

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

M. Cox            21%
P. Hoekstra       21
R. Synder         20
M. Bouchard       10
T. George          1
Undec             27

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard       45%         M. Bouchard       41%
V. Bernero        23          A. Dillon         26
Undec             30          Undec             31

M. Cox            45%         M. Cox            44%
V. Bernero        26          A. Dillon         27
Undec             27          Undec             27

P. Hoekstra       43%         P. Hoekstra       43%
V. Bernero        27          A. Dillon         27
Undec             28          Undec             28

R. Snyder         44%         R. Snyder         42%
V. Bernero        24          A. Dillon         26
Undec             31          Undec             30

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/18). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      48% 53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  41  31   43
Other           3   7    6
Undec           8   8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20    11/18
J. McCain      60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

California
A Field Poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 748 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Oversample of 353 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/17
T. Campbell  28% 34% 21% 30%
C. Fiorina   22  26  18  25
C. DeVore     9   7  12   6
Undec        41  33  49  39

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/17
T. Campbell  44% 38%
B. Boxer     43  48
Undec        13  14

-            Now 1/17 10/6
B. Boxer     45% 51%  50%
C. DeVore    41  34   33
Undec        14  15   17

-            Now 1/17 10/6 3/1
B. Boxer     45% 50%  49%  55%
C. Fiorina   44  35   35   25
Undec        11  15   16   20

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/17    10/6
B. Boxer     38%/51% 60%/25% 11%/84% 37%/54% 48%/39% 48%/39%
T. Campbell  23 /18  18 /21  31 /13  20 /18  22 /14  20 /21
C. Fiorina   20 /22  15 /29  24 /17  23 /14  16 /18  12 /16
C. DeVore     9 /13   7 /14  11 /11  12 /12   6 / 9   9 / 9

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 3/12-15; surveyed 878 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 3/17). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        43% 14% 84% 40% 48% 39% 44%  45%  45%   44%
C. Cunningham  32  59   3  20  31  33  32   36   36    31
Undec          25  27  13  40  21  28  24   19   20    25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        43% 13% 85% 38% 49% 37% 44%  46%  43%   45%
K. Lewis       32  59   3  18  30  34  31   34   37    32
Undec          25  28  12  44  21  29  25   20   21    23

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        41% 12% 83% 37% 48% 35% 43%  44%  42%   45%
E. Marshall    36  64   5  21  34  37  33   37   37    34
Undec          23  24  12  42  17  28  23   18   21    21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        41% 10% 84% 39% 48% 35% 42%  45%  42%   44%
Generic Dem    39  70   2  28  36  41  35   36   41    40
Undec          20  20  14  33  16  24  23   20   17    16

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
Approve        35% 12% 64% 37% 40% 31% 35%  36%  35%   40%
Disapprove     37  56  12  35  40  35  35   33   37    31

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/15
E. Marshall    17%/12% 25%/ 8%  9%/17% 10%/14% 19%/10%
K. Lewis        5 / 9   9 / 9   3 / 9   2 /12   7 /10
C. Cunningham   4 /10   5 /10   3 /10   3 /10   6 / 9

Governor 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/17). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown    42% 46%  45%  43%   45%
S. Poizner  27  34   35   32    32
Other       13   7    9    7     5
Undec       18  13   11   18    18

-           Now 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown    40% 43%  43%  41%   44%  40%
M. Whitman  40  43   39   41    35%  38
Other        6   6    7    3     3    5
Undec       14   8   11   14    18   17

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/15    1/19    11/17   9/24    1/09
M. Whitman  51%/34% 56%/28% 48%/30% 47%/27% 45%/28% 43%/22%
J. Brown    46 /44  53 /41  49 /40  48 /41  53 /37  46 /38
S. Poizner  29 /47  38 /37  40 /31  36 /26  36 /32   n/a

A Field Poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 748 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Oversample of 353 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 3/17). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I. Tested: Brown, Poizner and Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 1/17
M. Whitman  63% 45%
S. Poizner  14  17
Undec       23  38

General Election Matchups

-           Now 1/17 10/5(RVs)
J. Brown    49% 48%  50%
S. Poizner  32  31   25
Undec       19  21   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/17 10/5(RVs)
M. Whitman  46% 20% 77% 50% 47% 45% 36%  29%
J. Brown    43  69  13  36  43  43  46   50
Undec       11  11  10  14  10  12  18   21

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/17    10/5(RVs)
J. Brown    41%/37% 60%/20% 19%/60% 38%/34% 44%/32% 44%/29%
M. Whitman  40 /27  24 /36  56 /16  46 /22  25 /20  18 /14
S. Poizner  16 /32  12 /30  20 /34  17 /32  16 /20  22 /17

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 1,451 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsamples of 549 Dems and 387 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/17). Tested: Businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  81% 79% 82% 82%
M. Alpert       6   9   4   4
Other          --  --  --   1
Not vote       --   1  --   2
Undec          13  11  14  12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/25
L. McMahon     44% 40% 50% 27%  17%  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Simmons     34  38  28  37   28   43   42   48
P. Schiff       9  12   5   4    5    2   --   n/a
Other/others    1   1   2   2   13   11   11   11
Not vote        1   1  --   2    2    2    1    2
Undec          12   9  15  28   36   43   45   39

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  61% 90% 31% 54% 56% 65% 64%
L. McMahon     28   4  63  32  33  24  23
Other           1  --  --   1   1  --   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1  --   1
Undec          10   5   5  13   9  11  11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  64% 92% 36% 58% 59% 69% 66%
P. Schiff      21   2  53  23  28  15  19
Other          --   1  --  --  --   1   1
Not vote        2  --   1   2   1   2   1
Undec          13   6  13  17  12  14  14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  62% 91% 30% 56% 56% 68% 62%
R. Simmons     26   4  62  28  35  18  27
Other           1  --  --   2  --   1  --
Not vote        1  --   1   1   1   1   1
Undec          10   5   7  13   8  12  10

Blumenthal As AG

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/25
Approve    79% 90% 64% 79% 73% 84% 84%  78%  78%  79%  78%
Disapprove 13   2  31  14  19   8  11   13   14   13    9

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/12
R. Blumenthal  70%/18% 85%/ 3% 52%/41% 68%/19% 74%/13%
R. Simmons     38 /21  31 /24  63 /14  34 /21  36 /18
L. McMahon     36 /26  20 /37  63 /16  40 /21  24 /21
P. Schiff      10 / 6   3 / 7  19 / 2  12 / 6   8 / 5
M. Alpert       4 / 3   5 / 3   3 / 2   3 / 3   3 / 3

Which Type Of SEN Candidate Would You Prefer: A Candidate Who Funds Their Campaign Mostly With Private Donations Or A Wealthy Candidate Who Funds Their Campaign Mostly With Their Own Funds?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Donations   46% 50% 48% 44% 46% 46%
Own funds   36  33  35  38  34  38

Which Type Of Candidate Would You Prefer To See As A Sen.: Someone With Years Of Political Experience, Or A Political Outsider?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Experience  45% 62% 31% 39% 36% 54%
Outsider    45  28  63  51  56  36

Does Blumenthal's Experience As AG Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For SEN?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     60% 79% 37% 57% 53% 66%
Less likely     13   2  34  13  19   8
No difference   25  18  27  29  27  24

Does Simmons' Experience As A Rep. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For SEN?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     21% 18% 34% 20% 27% 17%
Less likely     21  20  23  20  24  18
No difference   52  59  38  53  46  58

Does McMahon's Experience As CEO Of World Wrestling Entertainment Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Her For SEN?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     15%  8% 26% 18% 19% 13%
Less likely     33  43  23  28  34  32
No difference   49  47  49  51  46  51

Fav/Unfav

-                       All     Men     Wom
Professional wrestling  17%/54% 19%/52% 16%/56%

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support     56% 88% 14% 50% 49% 62%
Oppose      36   8  80  39  45  29

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16                
P. Toomey   49% 47% 49%  46%  45%   48%  39%
A. Specter  40  38  40   42   40    36   50      
Other        5   5   4    4    6     4    4      
Undec        7  10   8    8    9    12    7 

-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey   42% 43% 43%  44%  37%   43%  35%
J. Sestak   37  35  35   38   38    35   41
Other        7   7   6    6    6     5    7
Undec       15  15  16   13   19    18   18

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13   8/11
P. Toomey   53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27% 51%/29% 52%/27% 54%/26%
A. Specter  42 /54  41 /54  43 /54  44 /50  46 /52  43 /54
J. Sestak   40 /38  33 /42  37 /37  36 /38  37 /34  40 /36

Governor 2010

Pennsylvania
A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 3/3-6; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/12). Party reg. breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D). (Note: Corbett is IDed as "the Republican candidate," while Onorato and Wagner are each IDed as "the Democrat candidate.")

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett  39% 15% 69% 37% 46% 33%
D. Onorato  24  44   2  16  19  28
None/other   2   3   1   0   2   2
Undec       35  38  28  45  33  36

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett  37% 12% 67% 32% 42% 32%
J. Wagner   26  46   3  18  22  29
None/other   2   2   1   2   1   2
Undec       36  41  29  46  34  37

Senate 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/16). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 2/11 1/14
B. Boxer     43% 45%  46%
T. Campbell  41  41   42
Other         6   4    3
Undec        10  10    8

-            Now 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23
B. Boxer     46% 47%  46%  46%   46%
C. DeVore    40  42   40   36    37
Other         4   6    4    5     7
Undec         9   5   10   13    10

-            Now 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22 3/09    
B. Boxer     46% 46%  46%  46%   49%  45%  47%
C. Fiorina   40  42   43   37    39   41   38
Other         4   7    3    5     4    7   10
Undec        10   5    8   12     8    7    5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/11    1/14    11/17   9/24    9/23
B. Boxer     48%/45% 51%/46% 51%/46% 51%/42%  n/a    51%/42%
T. Campbell  44 /29  44 /33  49 /23  40 /20  42%/27%  n/a
C. Fiorina   44 /31  37 /40  38 /34  40 /29   n/a    32 /35
C. DeVore    32 /28  32 /36  33 /29  31 /25   n/a    31 /37

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/12-15; surveyed 420 Dem primary LVs and 311 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 5.6%, respectively (release, 3/16). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 2/15
E. Marshall    20% 22% 18% 23% 14%  8% 29%
C. Cunningham  16  19  13  14  20  14  12
K. Lewis       11  12  10   9  13  17   5
S. Harris       4   4   5   4   4  11  n/a
M. Williams     2   1   3   1   2  14   2
A. Worthy       0   1   0   0   1  --  n/a
Undec          47  41  52  48  46  37  51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 2/15
R. Burr        58% 62% 54% 55%
B. Jones        5   4   5  10
E. Burks        4   4   4   3
L. Linney       1   2  --  n/a
Undec          33  28  37  31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-              All     Men     Wom     2/15
E. Marshall    27%/10% 27%/11% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis        9 /12  12 /16   6 / 9   9 / 9
C. Cunningham   8 / 9   9 /11   7 / 8   9 / 7

A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 2/11-15 for Marshall; surveyed 600 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/15). Tested: Marshall, Cunningham, John Hendrix, Lewis, Williams and Worthy.

Primary Election Matchup

E. Marshall    31%
C. Cunningham   5
K. Lewis        4
M. Williams     3
J. Hendrix      1
A. Worthy      --
Undec          56

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 481 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 3/16). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
A. Specter  48% 51% 53%  48%  46%   47%  51%
J. Sestak   37  36  32   35   42    34   32
Other        5   4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        9   9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13   8/11
A. Specter  65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25% 68%/30% 71%/25%
J. Sestak   47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22  45 /27  54 /23

A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 3/3-6; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/12). Party reg. breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Specter and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R). (Note: Toomey was IDed as "the Republican candidate," while Specter was IDed as "the Democrat candidate.")

General Election Matchup

-                                   RVs   RVs
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/12 5/30
P. Toomey   42% 14% 75% 40% 50% 34% 41%   37%
A. Specter  36  59   9  30  33  38  42    46
None/other   4   7   1   3   5   4   4     4
Undec       18  20  15  25  12  24  12    13

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 497 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/15). Tested: Businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
S. McInnis     58% 60% 56%
D. Maes         8  13   3
Y. Mager        2   2   2
M. Vanderbilt   1   1   1
Undec          31  24  39

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
S. McInnis     50%/10% 50%/13% 49%/ 6%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist     47% 33% 63% 43% 52% 44% 49% 28% 57% 50%
A. Sink      27  45  11  25  25  29  27  34  22  29
Undec        26  22  26  32  23  28  24  38  22  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum  44% 20% 69% 38% 50% 39% 49% 23% 43% 21%
A. Sink      31  55  11  25  26  35  29  42  30  38
Undec        25  25  20  36  24  26  22  35  26  42

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum  25%/26% 17%/31% 33%/20% 21%/27% 27%/31% 22%/21%
A. Sink      23 /27  34 /18  14 /36  21 /25  19 /31  26 /23

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 9/29
S. Walker   46% 39%
S. Neumann  27  14
T. Michels  n/a  4
Undec       27  43

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind
T. Barrett  34% 60% 18% 31%
S. Neumann  34  11  50  39
Undec       30  28  30  28

-           All Dem GOP Ind
S. Walker   36% 13% 57% 38%
T. Barrett  31  54  16  29
Undec       31  32  27  30

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
S. Walker   37%/16% 15%/27% 57%/ 7% 40%/16% 33%/16%
S. Neumann  36 /16  15 /27  53 / 7  39 /15  24 /12
T. Barrett  34 /18  44 / 7  25 /26  38 /19  36 /12

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 451 Dem primary LVs and 497 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.6% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 3/15). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), atty Steve Barton (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), physician Robert Greenheck (R), Gary Kennedy (R), Vincent Martinez (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R), businessman Cleve Tidwell (R), businessman Mark Van Wyk (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
M. Bennet     40% 38% 42%
A. Romanoff   34  34  34
Undec         26  28  25

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Norton     34% 39% 28%
K. Buck       17  21  12
T. Wiens       7   9   6
R. Greenheck   5   4   7
V. Martinez    2   2   2
S. Barton      1   1   1
C. Tidwell     1   1   1
G. Kennedy     0   1  --
M. Van Wyk    --  --  --
Undec         32  23  43

Bennet As Sen. (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
Approve       57% 51% 61%
Disapprove    21  31  14

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-             All     Men     Wom
A. Romanoff   45%/15% 45%/19% 45%/13%

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom
J. Norton     41%/26% 50%/21% 30%/32%
K. Buck       21 /17  24 /17  18 /17
T. Wiens      17 /16  19 /14  14 /20

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R) and developer Terrence Wall (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind
T. Thompson  51% 17% 81% 53%
R. Feingold  39  74  12  35
Undec         9   9   7   9

-            All Dem GOP Ind
R. Feingold  47% 78% 20% 48%
T. Wall      32   9  58  29
Undec        19  13  19  20

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
T. Thompson  57%/32% 33%/54% 77%/13% 60%/31%  n/a
R. Feingold  50 /39  81%/ 8% 25 /65  50 /41  54%/30%
T. Wall      10 / 7   5 /14  15 / 2  10 / 7   n/a

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Indiana Legislative Insight, 3/15 issue). Tested: Sodrel, real estate investor Travis Hankins (R) and atty Todd Young (R).

Primary Election Matchup

M. Sodrel   46%
T. Hankins  19
T. Young    13
Undec       22

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  52% 49% 55%
S. Poizner  19  23  15
Undec       29  28  30

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    45% 76%  7% 41% 41% 49% 42%
M. Whitman  41  10  83  40  47  35  36
Undec       14  14  10  19  12  16  22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    48% 79%  8% 46% 44% 52% 43%
S. Poizner  33   5  73  30  39  27  34
Undec       19  16  19  24  17  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12
J. Brown    52%/40% 80%/15% 16%/77% 50%/37% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  51 /35  29 /55  79 /11  53 /32  41 /30
S. Poizner  37 /40  17 /55  64 /21  37 /40  35 /27

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), state Sen. Tom Bakk (D) ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Rukavina (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R), state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  34      M. Anderson Kelliher  35
T. Horner             10      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 19

T. Emmer              36%     M. Seifert            37%
T. Bakk               29      T. Bakk               30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 27      Undec                 24

M. Dayton             38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Emmer              35      M. Dayton             38
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              7
Undec                 20      Undec                 16

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            38%
M. Entenza            28      M. Entenza            30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 26      Undec                 23

T. Emmer              38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Rukavina           29      T. Rukavina           30
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              9
Undec                 25      Undec                 22

R.T. Rybak            38%     M. Seifert            38%
T. Emmer              35      R.T. Rybak            38
T. Horner              9      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 16

Fav/Unfav

R.T. Rybak            49%/37%
M. Dayton             44 /45
M. Seifert            41 /33
M. Anderson Kelliher  39 /41
T. Emmer              38 /26
T. Bakk               27 /22
T. Rukavina           27 /27
M. Entenza            27 /31

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D) and AG Tom Corbett (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   19% 17% 21%
J. Hoeffel   12  14  10
J. Wagner    10  11   9
T. Williams   3   3   3
Undec        56  55  57

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 81% 39% 46% 36%
J. Hoeffel   31  56   5  23  28  34
Undec        28  36  14  38  26  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   40%  8% 79% 39% 44% 36%
D. Onorato   34  61   5  27  31  37
Undec        26  31  16  34  25  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 80% 41% 45% 37%
J. Wagner    32  57   5  25  29  35
Undec        27  35  15  34  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   47% 13% 84% 55% 53% 41%
T. Williams  19  33   3  18  16  22
Undec        34  54  13  27  31  37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   39%/12% 10%/18% 76%/ 5% 32%/10% 43%/10% 35%/14%
D. Onorato   32 /15  47 / 8  14 /24  32 /14  30 /18  34 /12
J. Wagner    30 /14  47 / 6  11 /23  30 /13  28 /17  32 /11
J. Hoeffel   29 /15  44 / 8  11 /24  29 /13  27 /18  31 /12
T. Williams   9 / 3  12 / 2   5 / 5   8 / 2   9 / 4   9 / 2