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Thursday, July 1, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer 53% 52% 48% 44% 36% 41% 35% 35%
T. Goddard 35 39 40 40 45 43 44 42
Other 2 7 7 9 12 7 9 13
Undec 9 3 5 6 7 9 12 11

Brewer As Gov.
-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/09
Approve 58% 64% 56% 40% 48% 41% 37% 39% 37% 48%
Disapprove 40 35 42 56 51 55 60 57 57 48

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/17    4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. Brewer 59%/36% 60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48%
T. Goddard 53 /37 48 /45 49 /44 54 /31 54 /32 51 /35

New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 551 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 29%D, 29%R, 42%I.

Lynch As Gov.
-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve 41% 43% 59% 33% 39% 49% 52% 37% 35% 47%
Disapprove 30 32 12 36 42 30 21 40 31 20

Lynch Handling Economy
-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve 40% 42% 59% 25% 42% 43% 45% 37% 30% 38%
Disapprove 30 31 18 36 36 35 26 34 41 24

Oregon
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 963 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley 41% 15% 73% 41% 45% 37%
J. Kitzhaber 40 71 7 27 38 41
Other 10 7 12 14 11 9
Undec 9 7 8 18 6 13

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Kitzhaber 43%/40% 68%/20% 16%/68% 34%/38% 43%/48% 43%/34%
C. Dudley 42 /21 28 /31 60 /10 42 /18 47 /22 38 /20

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
M. Neumann 41% 7% 76% 41% 47% 36% 43% 39%
T. Barrett 36 72 8 29 35 38 38 41
Undec 23 20 16 31 19 26 19 20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
S. Walker 45% 8% 85% 43% 50% 41% 42% 40%
T. Barrett 38 78 5 30 34 41 39 40
Undec 17 14 9 27 15 18 19 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
S. Walker 36%/28% 13%/47% 63%/ 9% 32%/28% 31%/27% 30%/25%
T. Barrett 28 /30 46 /12 10 /52 28 /26 29 /22 31 /21
M. Neumann 18 /35 9 /44 29 /27 18 /33 24 /27 16 /27

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