Act Green BlogLCV.org Twitter YouTube Flickr Facebook

Friday, July 31, 2009

Pennslyvania - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17-18 for Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/30). Tested: Gerlach, AG Tom Corbett (R) and ex-U.S. AG/ex-Delaware Co. DA Pat Meehan (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Corbett 39%
J. Gerlach 11
P. Meehan 7

Alaska - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 7/29-30; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/31).

Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/5 3/25 3/13 7/08 5/08
S. Parnell 67%/ 8% na na na na na
S. Palin 47 /48 54%/42% 60%/35% 61%/33% 80%/16% 86%/ 9%

North Dakota - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 7/26-27 for the NRSC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/31). Tested: Sen. Byron Dorgan (D) and Gov. John Hoeven (R).

General Election Matchup
J. Hoeven 53%
B. Dorgan 36
Undec 11

Fav/Unfav
J. Hoeven 86%/ 5%
B. Dorgan 69 /24

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Virginia - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 7/27-28 by Survey USA (IVR); surveyed 900 adults; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 526 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 7/29). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 38%R, 32%D, 29%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk 6/7 6/2 5/19
B. McDonnell 55% 61% 49% 88% 11% 60% 65% 13% 47% 44% 46%
C. Deeds 40 36 44 7 86 35 32 77 43 43 40
Undec 5 3 7 5 3 5 3 10 11 13 15

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 7/24-27; surveyed 552 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 7/28). Party ID Breakdown: 42%D, 32%R, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D) and ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R).

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His 6/29
C. Christie 50% 56% 45% 20% 86% 54% 55% 20% 50% 51%
J. Corzine 36 34 38 64 6 26 32 64 33 41
Undec 14 11 17 16 8 20 13 16 17 9

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/29
C. Christie 42%/32% 18%/49% 71%/14% 47%/26% 43%/33%
J. Corzine 33 /56 54 /28 10 /88 29 /61 36 /56

Monday, July 27, 2009

Massachusetts - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 7/15-21 by the Univ. of NH Survey Center; surveyed 545 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 147 GOPers; margin of error +/- 8.1% (release, 7/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
C. Baker 27% 33% 21%
C. Mihos 20 19 20
Other 20 25 15
Undec 33 23 44

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
C. Baker 41% 43% 39% 13% 47% 81%
D. Patrick 35 39 32 63 13 6
Other 4 1 6 3 6 3
Undec 20 17 23 21 34 10

- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
C. Mihos 41% 43% 39% 16% 52% 74%
D. Patrick 40 43 38 68 17 10
Other 4 3 5 3 6 5
Undec 15 12 18 14 25 11

- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
D. Patrick 30% 33% 27% 53% 10% 6%
T. Cahill 30 26 35 23 37 39
C. Baker 20 24 17 6 20 42
Other 4 3 4 1 8 5
Undec 15 15 16 17 25 7

- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
D. Patrick 31% 34% 28% 53% 11% 7%
T. Cahill 31 29 33 22 42 38
C. Mihos 18 20 16 6 20 36
Other 4 2 5 3 6 4
Undec 17 15 18 15 22 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
T. Cahill 42%/17% 41%/18% 43%/16% 37%/19% 39%/16% 52%/14%
D. Patrick 36 /52 36 /52 35 /53 58 /30 17 /63 12 /81
C. Mihos 26 /38 29 /40 23 /37 23 /42 25 /35 31 /36
C. Baker 16 /14 20 /13 13 /15 18 /16 13 / 9 17 /14

Patrick As Gov.
- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Approve 35% 34% 35% 58% 16% 11%
Disapprove 56 57 56 34 68 83

Direction Of MA
- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Right dir. 31% 32% 30% 49% 17% 11%
Wrong dir. 61 60 62 40 75 85

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill
- All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Agree 25% 25% 26% 40% 17% 10%
Disagree 62 67 58 47 70 82

Arizona - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/27).

Brewer As Gov.
- Now 5/6
Approve 48% 51%
Disapprove 48 45

Friday, July 24, 2009

California - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/24). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
- Now 3/9
B. Boxer 45% 47%
C. Fiorina 41 38
Other 7 10
Undec 7 5

Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/9
B. Boxer 50%/47% 50%/46%
C. Fiorina 30 /35 39 /31

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Connecticut - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/16-20; surveyed 1,499 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 612 Dems and 384 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.0% and +/- 5.0%, respectively (release, 7/23). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-Amb. Thomas Foley (R), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/25
C. Dodd 52% 50% 53% 44%
M. Alpert 18 25 14 24
Other 2 1 2 1
Not vote 1 1 1 2
Undec 27 24 29 30

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/25
R. Simmons 42% 52% 32% 48%
S. Caligiuri 5 7 4 10
T. Foley 5 7 4 na
P. Schiff -- -- -- na
Other 1 -- 2 1
Not vote 1 1 2 2
Undec 45 33 56 39

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8
R. Simmons 48% 87% 16% 56% 56% 42% 45% 50% 43%
C. Dodd 39 7 74 27 33 44 39 34 42
Other -- -- -- 1 1 -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 -- 2 3 1 2 1 2 1
Undec 10 5 8 14 9 11 13 12 12

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd 42% 10% 74% 34% 38% 46% 41% 37% 47%
S. Caligiuri 40 81 12 43 46 36 39 41 34
Other 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 2
Not vote 1 -- 1 2 1 2 2 2 2
Undec 15 7 12 21 15 15 17 17 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/31
T. Foley 42% 82% 11% 46% 49% 37% 43%
C. Dodd 42 9 75 32 38 45 35
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 3
Not vote 1 1 1 2 1 2 2
Undec 14 7 11 19 12 15 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
C. Dodd 43% 12% 77% 32% 39% 47%
P. Schiff 38 76 11 41 44 33
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 3 2 2
Undec 16 9 12 23 15 17

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/25 3/31
C. Dodd 40%/50% 13%/80% 70%/23% 31%/56% 37%/51% 30%/58%
R. Simmons 39 /12 57 / 2 24 /21 41 / 9 34 /12 39 /12
T. Foley 17 / 5 23 / 2 11 / 7 20 / 3 na 12 / 6
S. Caligiuri 12 / 4 20 / 1 6 / 5 11 / 4 9 / 3 8 / 3
P. Schiff 7 / 3 10 / 1 4 / 6 8 / 3 na na
M. Alpert 3 / 1 1 /-- 4 / 2 3 / 1 4 / 2 na

Dodd As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17
Approve 42% 13% 72% 33% 37% 46% 38% 33% 49% 41% 47%
Disapprove 52 83 24 60 60 47 53 58 44 48 41

Lieberman As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17
Approve 46% 62% 33% 49% 50% 42% 46% 46% 46% 45% 38%
Disapprove 46 29 62 42 44 48 44 47 46 48 54

Would You Say Dodd ___?
- Now 5/25 3/31
- Yes No Yes No Yes No
Has strong leadership qualities 62% 32% 56% 35% 50% 43%
Shares your views on key issues 45 49 37 48 na na
Is honest and trustworthy 35 55 35 49 32 54


If Obama Actively Campaigns For Dodd, Would That Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Dodd?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
More likely 14% 2% 25% 11% 11% 16%
Less likely 15 33 4 16 17 13
No difference 71 64 71 73 71 71

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Georgia - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 7/17-19; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/21). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 6/14
J. Oxendine 38% 35%
N. Deal 16 12
K. Handel 9 13
E. Johnson 5 4
R. McBerry 3 2
A. Scott 2 2
Undec 27 32

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 6/14 4/19
R. Barnes 46% 49% 56%
T. Baker 31 30 29
D. Poythress 4 5 4
D. Porter 3 2 2
Undec 16 14 9

Direction Of GA
- Now 6/14 4/19
Right dir. 47% 49% 49%
Wrong dir. 46 44 43

Connecticut - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/16-20; surveyed 1,499 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 7/22).

Reelect Rell In '10?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/08
Definitely 15% 34% 5% 13% 14% 15% 14% 13%
Probably 43 47 35 48 43 43 40 40
Probably not 19 8 28 16 18 19 18 20
Definitely not 16 5 23 14 17 14 13 13
Undec 8 5 8 9 7 9 14 13

Rell As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17
Approve 65% 81% 49% 70% 67% 62% 73% 72% 75% 75% 68%
Disapprove 30 14 45 25 31 30 20 22 19 19 20

Would You Say Rell Has Done A ___ Job As Gov.?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good 57% 74% 44% 60% 58% 57%
Fair/poor 42 23 55 40 42 42

The Way Things Are Going In CT Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/8 2/8 12/17 7/08
Satisfied 48% 45% 56% 43% 45% 50% 56% 42% 41% 43% 41%
Dissatisfied 52 55 44 56 55 49 42 57 59 55 59

Rell Handling Economy
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/8 2/8
Approve 54% 67% 43% 56% 56% 53% 68% 67%
Disapprove 35 24 45 32 34 35 24 23

Would You Say That Rell ___?
- Now 7/05
- Yes No Yes No
Is honest and trustworthy 84% 11% 87% 5%
Has strong leadership qualities 76 21 82 11
Shares your views on key issues 53 37 64 21

CT Legislature Job Approval
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/07 2/07 6/04 11/03 10/03
Approve 39% 25% 54% 36% 37% 41% 45% 47% 48% 38% 35%
Disapprove 45 61 31 47 51 40 38 34 33 45 49

Blumenthal As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/8 2/8 7/05 4/05
Approve 79% 70% 87% 79% 78% 80% 78% 81% 79% 73% 76%
Disapprove 13 22 7 12 16 10 9 10 12 14 15

Pennsylvania - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/14-19; surveyed 1,173 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 511 GOPers and 512 Dems; margin of error for each +/- 4.3% (release, 7/22). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R) and '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/26
A. Specter 55% 54% 56% 50%
J. Sestak 23 26 21 21
Other 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 2 2
Undec 19 18 20 27

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/26
P. Toomey 47% 57% 34% 38%
P. Luksik 6 4 7 3
Other -- 1 -- 10
Not vote 3 3 2 2
Undec 45 35 56 47

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3
A. Specter 45% 11% 79% 42% 39% 50% 46% 53%
P. Toomey 44 82 11 46 52 37 37 33
Other -- -- -- -- 1 -- 1 2
Not vote -- -- 1 -- -- -- 3 1
Undec 10 7 9 12 7 13 14 10

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26
P. Toomey 39% 76% 9% 41% 49% 30% 35%
J. Sestak 35 7 67 28 32 38 37
Other 1 1 -- 1 2 -- 1
Not vote 1 1 1 -- 1 1 3
Undec 23 16 23 30 16 30 23

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
A. Specter 47% 12% 80% 43% 41% 52%
P. Luksik 40 75 10 42 48 33
Other -- -- -- -- -- --
Not vote 1 1 1 -- 1 1
Undec 12 11 9 15 10 14

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Sestak 39% 9% 72% 33% 38% 40%
P. Luksik 30 62 5 30 35 26
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 2
Undec 29 27 22 35 26 31

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/26 5/3
A. Specter 45%/44% 17%/75% 73%/16% 41%/46% 46%/39% 52%/34%
P. Toomey 34 /10 60 / 2 14 /18 31 / 9 27 /11 20 /13
J. Sestak 23 / 7 13 / 9 30 / 3 26 /11 18 / 5 na
P. Luksik 13 / 5 20 / 2 5 / 6 16 / 6 6 / 4 na

Does Specter Deserve To Be Reelected?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9
Yes, deserves 40% 15% 66% 35% 36% 44% 42% 49% 38% 40%
No, does not 49 78 23 53 58 42 43 41 41 43
Undec 11 7 11 12 6 14 15 10 20 17

Specter As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Approve 47% 18% 75% 46% 42% 52% 51% 56% 52% 56% 62%
Disapprove 46 76 17 47 55 38 39 36 33 30 25

Casey As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Approve 53% 33% 74% 52% 49% 57% 56% 55% 52% 54% 55%
Disapprove 25 41 10 26 32 20 21 21 23 23 20

Do You Think Specter Is Too Liberal/Too Conservative/About Right?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 6/04
Too liberal 31% 60% 7% 31% 41% 22% 30% 22%
Too conserv. 8 4 14 6 8 8 9 17
About right 46 22 70 42 39 52 45 45

Do You Think Toomey Is Too Liberal/Too Conservative/About Right?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26
Too liberal 4% 4% 3% 6% 6% 2% 4%
Too conserv. 10 5 15 9 11 9 15
About right 38 56 25 36 44 32 32

Louisiana - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 7/17-19; surveyed 727 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 7/21). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
D. Vitter 44% 51% 38% 19% 74% 43% 57% 15%
C. Melancon 32 31 33 53 9 25 24 53
Undec 24 18 29 27 16 32 20 32

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
D. Vitter 44% 51% 38% 19% 74% 45% 58% 9%
Generic Dem 38 36 40 65 11 27 23 76
Undec 18 12 23 16 16 28 18 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
D. Vitter 44%/39% 50%/39% 38%/38% 26%/56% 64%/20% 44%/34%
C. Melancon 26 /32 28 /40 25 /25 38 /18 14 /49 23 /30

Vitter As Sen.
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
Approve 44% 48% 41% 28% 62% 48% 55% 19%
Disapprove 36 36 36 52 19 30 26 59

Georgia - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 7/17-19; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/21).

Isakson As Sen.
- Now 6/14 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08 12/07
Approve 54% 56% 55% 50% 50% 51% 56% 58% 57% 58%
Disapprove 37 35 37 38 39 38 33 31 30 33

Chambliss As Sen.
- Now 6/14 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08 12/07
Approve 48% 50% 48% 49% 48% 49% 53% 53% 54% 53%
Disapprove 39 40 41 40 40 41 36 33 32 34

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 7/17-19; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/21). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Christopher Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchup
- Now 6/21 4/19
C. Christie 53% 51% 47%
J. Corzine 38 39 36
C. Daggett 5 na na
Undec 4 8 16

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 6/21 4/19 10/26 9/28 9/16 7/08
Approve 35% 34% 36% 38% 37% 38% 39%
Disapprove 55 54 54 55 54 53 47

Direction Of NJ
- Now 6/21 4/19
Right dir. 24% 28% 33%
Wrong dir. 62 59 57

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 7/9-14; surveyed 923 adults; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Subsample of 792 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/21). Note: subgroup and trend data is among adults.

Corzine As Gov.
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 4/27 2/8 1/14 10/18 9/14 7/08
Approve 37% 38% 53% 30% 21% 40% 34% 43% 38% 40% 39%
Disapprove 49 51 30 57 74 49 51 40 45 49 47

NJ Legislature Job Approval
- All RVs Dem Ind GOP 2/8 9/14 7/08 4/08 3/08 10/07
Approve 30% 31% 37% 25% 23% 25% 29% 27% 29% 28% 33%
Disapprove 47 48 36 55 60 52 47 45 53 50 41

Pennsylvania - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/14-19; surveyed 1,173 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 511 GOPers and 512 Dems; margin of error for each +/- 4.3% (release, 7/21). Tested: Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), AG Tom Corbett (R), Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-06) and ex-U.S. AG/ex-Delaware Co. DA Pat Meehan (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
D. Onorato 16% 17% 15%
J. Wagner 16 24 11
T. Knox 13 10 14
Other -- 1 --
Not vote 1 1 1
Undec 54 47 59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
T. Corbett 38% 44% 31%
J. Gerlach 15 16 13
P. Meehan 9 10 8
Other -- -- --
Not vote -- -- --
Undec 37 29 48

General Election Matchup
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Generic GOPer 38% 84% 5% 32% 47% 30%
Generic Dem 37 1 80 23 31 44
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote -- 1 -- -- -- 1
Undec 24 14 15 44 21 26

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/26
T. Corbett 38%/ 6% 47%/ 3% 31%/10% 36%/ 6% na
J. Wagner 18 / 4 12 / 4 25 / 5 17 / 4 na
D. Onorato 16 / 6 9 / 8 22 / 6 13 / 4 na
J. Gerlach 16 / 8 22 / 3 11 / 8 15 / 6 15%/ 5%
P. Meehan 12 / 3 15 / 2 9 / 3 13 / 6 na
T. Knox 10 / 4 8 / 3 13 / 5 9 / 4 na

Corbett As AG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Approve 55% 61% 50% 56% 65% 46%
Disapprove 8 5 10 8 7 9

The Way Things Are Going In PA Today
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Satisfied 41% 29% 53% 41% 40% 42% 56% 59% 51% 49% 46%
Dissatisfied 57 71 46 58 59 57 42 40 49 50 52

PA Legislature Job Approval
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Approve 27% 26% 30% 27% 23% 30% 42% 42% 37% 39% 39%
Disapprove 57 62 55 55 63 52 40 40 43 42 42

Rendell As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/26 5/3 3/23 2/9 11/26
Approve 39% 20% 58% 37% 38% 40% 54% 53% 50% 47% 55%
Disapprove 53 74 34 55 58 49 37 38 38 38 34

Rendell Handling Economy
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/23 2/9
Approve 33% 15% 49% 32% 31% 35% 44% 42%
Disapprove 60 78 43 62 65 55 43 47

Monday, July 20, 2009

New York - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 7/13-16; surveyed 623 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsamples of 293 Dems and 155 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.7% and +/- 7.9%, respectively (release, 7/20). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 65% 72% 50% 63% 69% 70% 64% 67% 53% 33%
D. Paterson 23 16 45 10 16 19 11 17 27 35
Undec 13 12 5 27 15 11 25 17 20 33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 2/18
R. Giuliani 75% 78% 72% 77%
R. Lazio 14 13 16 10
Undec 11 9 12 13

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 57% 42% 82% 61% 62% 53% 64% 20% 35% 57% 59%
D. Paterson 34 50 9 32 29 39 27 69 53 27 31
Undec 9 8 9 8 9 9 8 11 13 15 10

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 49% 67% 21% 45% 45% 53% 44% 81% 58% 49% 53%
R. Giuliani 44 27 70 48 48 40 49 16 34 40 41
Undec 7 5 9 6 7 7 7 3 7 11 6

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 41% 56% 16% 39% 37% 43% 33% 78% 57% 46% 52%
R. Lazio 39 27 64 39 43 36 46 11 20 28 22
Undec 20 17 21 22 20 21 21 11 23 26 26

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 65% 78% 37% 70% 63% 66% 62% 92% 68% 66% 61%
R. Lazio 20 9 45 17 26 15 23 2 16 16 17
Undec 15 13 18 13 10 19 15 6 16 18 22

Elect Paterson In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him 17% 23% 14% 11% 18% 16% 15% 15% 12% 14%
Prefer another 69 61 80 72 70 69 70 71 71 67
Undec 13 16 6 16 12 15 15 15 17 19

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 63%/21% 70%/13% 53%/33% 60%/23% 71%/17% 66%/20%
R. Giuliani 61 /34 50 /48 77 /14 64 /30 62 /33 61 /35
D. Paterson 36 /56 41 /50 30 /65 35 /56 31 /57 27 /60
R. Lazio 25 /22 23 /26 28 /18 27 /16 na na
R. Ravitch 19 /19 25 /14 13 /24 13 /23 na na

Paterson As Gov.
- Now 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13
Excellent/good 22% 20% 18% 18% 19% 28% 51% 55% 55%
Fair/poor 77 78 81 81 78 69 45 40 41

Direction Of NY
- Now 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21
Right dir. 23% 24% 33% 27% 30% 31% 39% 37% 39% 39%
Wrong dir. 64 63 52 57 52 53 42 44 43 41

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For Gov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 6/18 5/21
For Gov. 45% 54% 36% 37% 45% 44% 45% 61% 35% 46% 47%
Reelect as AG 31 28 35 34 29 32 31 30 31 35 33

Did Paterson Act Appropriately/Overstep His Legal Authority When He Appointed Ravitch LG?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Acted appropriately 51% 59% 43% 47% 47% 55% 52% 57% 46%
Overstepped authority 34 26 44 37 37 32 35 26 37

Ravitch As LG Choice
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Excellent/good 28% 35% 16% 28% 29% 28% 29% 31% 18%
Fair/poor 50 48 55 52 53 48 48 63 54

Iowa - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Voter Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 7/2 and 7/5-6 for TheIowaRepublican.com/Concordia Group LLC (R); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Separate sample of 394 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/17). Party ID Breakdown (adults): 37%D, 35%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee/businessman Bob Vander Plaats (R), state Rep./ex-state House Speaker Christopher Rants (R), state Senate Min. Leader Paul McKinley (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R), businessman Christian Fong (R) and state Sen. Jerry Behn (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
T. Branstad 35%
B. V. Plaats 31
C. Rants 6
P. McKinley 2
R. Roberts 1
C. Fong 1
J. Behn --
Neither/other 3
Undec 19

General Election Matchup
T. Brandstad 53%
C. Culver 37
Neither 4
Undec 6

Friday, July 17, 2009

New York - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/17).

Fav/Unfav
K. Gillibrand 43%/34%
C. Maloney 36 /33

Gillibrand As Sen.
Excellent/good 30%
Fair/poor 54

New Hampshire - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 7/13-15 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/16). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 39%I. Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R) and ex-Rep. Charlie Bass (R).

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Hodes 42% 39% 45% 79% 7% 40% 47% 39% 41% 44%
C. Bass 37 41 33 6 70 36 32 41 38 34
Undec 19 17 21 14 21 21 19 18 19 20

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
K. Ayotte 39% 43% 35% 6% 72% 39% 33% 44% 38% 37%
P. Hodes 38 35 41 77 6 32 43 35 38 40
Other 2 3 1 1 2 3 2 1 3 2
Undec 21 19 23 16 20 26 22 20 21 21

Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
K. Ayotte 36%/13% 40%/11% 32%/15% 17%/21% 56%/ 5% 36%/13%
P. Hodes 34 /21 31 /25 37 /17 56 / 7 17 /35 30 /22
C. Bass 31 /23 35 /20 27 /26 15 /35 51 /12 29 /22

Thursday, July 16, 2009

New York - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/14; surveyed 373 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 7/15). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D) and AG Andrew Cuomo (D).

Primary Election Matchup
A. Cuomo 61%
D. Paterson 27
Other 4
Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
A. Cuomo 78%/15%
D. Paterson 49 /50

New York - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/14; surveyed 373 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 7/16). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) and Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-14).

Primary Election Matchup
C. Maloney 33%
K. Gillibrand 27
Other 9
Undec 30

Fav/Unfav
K. Gillibrand 49%/25%
C. Maloney 42 /24

North Carolina - Senate (2010)

Senate (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 7/10-12; surveyed 767 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/16). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 33%R, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and atty/Obama fundraiser Kenneth Lewis (D).

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/21 2/15
R. Burr 40% 47% 35% 15% 78% 39% 48% 14% 42% 46%
C. Cunningham 31 32 31 52 7 21 26 53 34 27
Undec 29 22 35 33 15 40 27 33 24 27

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/10
R. Burr 42% 50% 35% 15% 82% 39% 50% 13% 45%
K. Lewis 31 30 32 54 5 22 25 56 31
Undec 27 21 33 31 13 39 26 31 24

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 6/14 3/15
R. Burr 40% 47% 33% 13% 79% 38% 48% 9% 38% 42%
Generic Dem 38 34 40 65 5 28 29 71 41 38
Undec 23 18 26 22 16 34 23 20 21 20

Burr As Sen.
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 6/14 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
Approve 36% 40% 32% 21% 60% 33% 34% 36% 35% 35% 41%
Disapprove 29 35 24 40 10 35 35 32 31 32 34

Virginia - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/15). Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

General Election Matchup

- Now 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 44% 41% 45% 39%
C. Deeds 41 47 30 30
Other 3 2 5 6
Undec 12 10 20 25

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey Poll; conducted 7/9-14; surveyed 792 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 527 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 7/16). Party ID Breakdown (RVs): 39%D, 24%R, 37%I. Note: all subgroup and trend data is among RVs. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem Ind GOP 4/27 1/14
C. Christie 43% 45% 17% 47% 78% 39% 36%
J. Corzine 37 37 67 24 10 35 38
C. Daggett 5 4 4 7 4 na na
Other 1 1 -- 2 -- 2 2
Undec 15 13 11 20 8 18 21

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/27 1/14
C. Christie 43%/24% 21%/44% 48%/16% 76%/ 4% 41%/16% 42%/12%
J. Corzine 38 /46 66 /19 24 /61 17 /71 43 /47 49 /38
C. Daggett 6 / 9 3 /16 9 / 4 8 / 6 5 / 6 na

Has Corzine/Christie Given You ___ Of What He Would Do (In His Second Term) As Gov.?

- Corzine Christie
- All Dem Ind GOP All Dem Ind GOP
A clear idea 25% 26% 24% 27% 13% 8% 15% 20%
Some idea 35 44 30 29 42 38 44 50
Not much of an idea 14 11 16 19 16 20 16 10
No idea at all 19 13 22 21 21 27 20 12

Corzine/Christie Understands The Problems Of Avg. NJans
- Corzine Christie
- All Dem Ind GOP All Dem Ind GOP
Agree 41% 64% 30% 23% 42% 29% 44% 62%
Disagree 50 29 62 70 28 40 28 15

If Obama Actively Campaigns For Corzine, Would You Be More/Less Likely To Vote For Corzine?
- All Dem Ind GOP
More likely 14% 25% 9% 4%
Less likely 15 4 18 29
No effect 70 70 72 65

Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Iowa - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Voter Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 7/2,5-6 for TheIowaRepublican.com and Concordia Group LLC; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/9). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D).

Culver As Gov.
Approve 53%
Disapprove 41

Fav/Unfav
C. Culver 48%/41%

Would You Vote To ___?
Re-elect Culver 36%
Give someone else chance 53
Undec. 11

Tennessee - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 7/13; surveyed 604 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Subsample of 261 RVs in the Dem primary and 343 RVs in the GOP primary (release, 7/14). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), state Sen. Roy Herron (D), state Senate Min. Leader Jim Kyle (D), businessman Ward Cammack (D), ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R), LG Ron Ramsey (R) and Shelby Co. DA Bill Gibbons (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. McWherter 23%
R. Herron 13
J. Kyle 6
W. Cammack 5
K. McMillan 3
Undec. 50

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
Z. Wamp 22%
B. Haslam 15
R. Ramsey 7
B. Gibbons 4
Undec. 52

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/3-8; surveyed 1,514 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 7/13). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8
C. Christie 53% 19% 89% 64% 58% 48% 59% 29% 50%
J. Corzine 41 76 7 28 36 45 34 66 40
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -- 1
Undec 6 4 3 8 6 6 6 4 9

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
C. Christie 47% 16% 88% 54% 52% 43% 53% 23%
J. Corzine 38 72 6 24 34 41 31 64
C. Daggett 8 6 4 13 9 8 8 10
Undec 7 6 3 9 9 8 8 4

Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Christie 39%/20% 12%/33% 73%/ 4% 46%/14% 48%/19% 33%/20%
J. Corzine 34 /58 63 /29 9 /86 21 /70 31 /63 37 /53
C. Daggett 5 / 2 4 / 4 4 / 2 8 / 1 7 / 2 3 / 2

Corzine As Gov.

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Approve 33% 59% 9% 24% 30% 36% 28% 56%
Disapprove 60 34 88 69 66 55 66 40

Who Would Do Better Job With State Budget?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
C. Christie 50% 20% 84% 61% 55% 46% 56% 25%
J. Corzine 36 66 9 24 34 39 32 57

Who Would Do Better Job Cleaning Up Corruption?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
C. Christie 54% 25% 86% 66% 62% 47% 60% 30%
J. Corzine 30 56 8 17 26 32 25 52

Christie's Ads Say Corzine Hasn't Kept His Campaign Promises. Is This Fair, Or Is The Economic Downturn To Blame?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Fair 45% 23% 65% 53% 52% 39% 48% 33%
Downturn 44 66 22 36 40 47 41 54

Corzine's Ads Say Christie Is Too Close To George W. Bush. Is This Fair, Or Should Christie Focus On State Issues?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Fair 10% 19% 2% 7% 11% 10% 9% 16%
Focus on issues 77 65 91 83 78 76 80 73

Has Being A Fed. Prosecutor Given Christie Enough Experience To Be Gov.?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Yes 57% 40% 77% 62% 61% 53% 60% 42%
No 30 43 14 28 30 31 29 41

Has Corzine's Background As An Investment Banker Made Him A Better/Worse/No Difference Gov.?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Better 20% 34% 9% 13% 19% 21% 18% 30%
Worse 19 9 27 27 20 19 21 17
No diff 58 53 61 58 61 55 58 48

As You May Know, Corzine Spent Millions To Be Elected And Says He Will Do The Same This Year. Which Comes Closer To Your View: As A Self-Funder, Corzine Is Free From Being Beholden To Lobbyists And Other Special Interests, Or He Has An Unfair Advantage?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Free from interests 46% 67% 28% 36% 44% 47% 42% 64%
Unfair advantage 44 25 59 55 46 42 48 30

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, With Whom Would You Rather Stroll The AC Boardwalk?

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
C. Christie 50% 15% 72% 47% 44% 38% 46% 18%
J. Corzine 38 72 12 29 35 40 34 57

Friday, July 10, 2009

Ohio - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 7/6-8 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 Dem primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/9). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D), ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 30%R, 32%I.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

- All Men Wom
L. Fisher 22% 26% 19%
J. Brunner 17 15 19
Undec 61 59 62

General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
L. Fisher 42% 75% 6% 37% 39% 45% 36% 77% 70%
R. Portman 35 7 72 34 39 31 41 4 8
Undec 23 18 22 29 22 24 23 19 22

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. Brunner 40% 74% 5% 33% 37% 43% 34% 75% 68%
R. Portman 36 7 74 35 40 32 42 4 9
Undec 24 19 21 32 23 25 24 21 23

Fav/Unfav

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher 36%/16% 52%/ 8% 18%/29% 34%/14% 33%/20% 52%/ 8%
J. Brunner 33 /17 51 / 9 14 /30 30 /15 29 /22 37 /12
R. Portman 29 / 9 17 /12 46 / 5 27 / 9 33 / 7 25 /11

Ohio - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 7/6-8 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/9). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
T. Strickland 44% 79% 6% 39% 40% 48% 38% 79% 71%
J. Kasich 39 8 78 40 44 34 45 5 9
Undec 17 13 16 21 16 18 17 16 20

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
T. Strickland 44%/40% 66%/22% 23%/62% 38%/40%
J. Kasich 31 /12 18 /19 50 / 4 29 /11

Thursday, July 9, 2009

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 7/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/8). Tested: Ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and Gov. Jon Corzine (D).

General Election Matchup
- Now 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
C. Christie 53% 51% 47% 49% 42%
J. Corzine 41 38 38 34 40
Other 2 5 6 7 5
Undec 5 6 9 10 13

Corzine As Gov.
- Now 6/3 5/12 3/10 1/13
Approve 40% 42% 40% 33% 44%
Disapprove 58 58 57 66 54
Newark Bear
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 7/6-7 for the RGA; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Heininger, Newark Star-Ledger, 7/9). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 33%R, 22%I. Tested: Christie and Corzine.
General Election Matchup
C. Christie 45%
J. Corzine 3

Colorado - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/24-25 for the NRSC; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Hotline sources, 7/9).

Generic SEN Ballot
GOP 41%
Dem 40

Fav/Unfav
M. Bennet 20%/17%

Bennet As Sen.
Approve 21%
Disapprove 22

Reelect Bennet?
Reelect Bennet 14%
Support another 38


Governor (2010)
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/24-25 for the NRSC; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Hotline sources, 7/9).

Ritter As Gov.
Approve 44%
Disapprove 45

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Washington - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
An Elway Poll; conducted 6/25-28; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/7). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 24%R, 31%I.

Reelect Murray?
- Now 5/03
Reelect Murray 44% 43%
Support another 33 19
Undec 23 38

Murray As Sen.
- Now 5/03 4/02 6/99 4/98 7/95 1/94 7/93
Excellent/good 53% 44% 47% 50% 40% 44% 44% 40%
Only fair/poor 34 47 42 44 50 45 38 37

North Carolina - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 7/2).
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/23 3/19
R. Burr 31%/19% 21%/20% 42%/14% 34%/27% 33%/17% 37%/13%
E. Marshall 13 / 7 15 / 6 11 / 8 10 / 8 na na
M. McIntyre 13 /10 15 / 8 10 /12 12 /12 na na

New Hampshire - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Granite State Poll; conducted 6/24-7/1 by the Univ. of NH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1%. Subsample of 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/2). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D), ex-Sen. John Sununu (R), AG Kelly Ayotte (R), multimillionaire investor Fred Tausch (R) and ex-Rep. Charles Bass (R). Note: Sununu announced 7/1 he will not be a SEN '10 candidate.
General Election Matchups (LVs)
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
P. Hodes 35% 61% 26% 12% 32% 39%
K. Ayotte 39 13 33 68 43 34
Other 2 1 6 2 3 1
Undec 24 24 35 19 22 26

- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
P. Hodes 40% 77% 22% 10% 34% 46%
C. Bass 38 6 34 73 46 31
Other 2 1 4 1 2 2
Undec 20 16 40 16 19 21

- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
P. Hodes 45% 79% 36% 14% 41% 49%
F. Tausch 25 1 10 56 29 21
Other 1 -- 3 -- 1 --
Undec 29 20 51 30 29 30

- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/22
P. Hodes 43% 81% 34% 9% 38% 48% 41%
J. Sununu 41 7 34 80 50 33 46
Other 1 -- 4 1 1 -- 2
Undec 14 12 28 10 10 18 11

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/22 2/9
J. Gregg 53%/24% 32%/41% 60%/15% 73%/10% 57%/25% 64%/15%
J. Shaheen 50 /36 74 /11 53 /27 24 /66 47 /37 56 /32
K. Ayotte 45 / 8 44 / 9 41 / 7 49 / 7 na na
J. Sununu 43 /38 16 /64 32 /37 75 /12 47 /36 na
C. Bass 33 /23 20 /34 28 /18 49 /14 30 /24 na
P. Hodes 32 /23 48 /10 23 /20 20 /37 34 /22 36 /13
O. Lamontagne 10 / 6 9 / 9 6 / 4 13 / 5 na na
F. Tausch 5 / 4 1 / 4 1 / 3 11 / 4 na na

Governor (2010)

A Granite State Poll; conducted 6/24-7/1 by the Univ. of NH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 7/3).
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/22 2/9
J. Lynch 62%/24% 81%/ 9% 61%/20% 44%/42% 72%/13% 76%/ 8%

Lynch As Gov.
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/22 2/9 9/21 7/20 4/08
Approve 63% 78% 61% 48% 61% 65% 70% 74% 75% 72% 74%
Disapprove 27 12 22 44 30 24 15 12 12 13 13

Direction Of NH
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 4/22 2/9 9/21 7/20 4/08
Right dir. 55% 72% 53% 38% 53% 57% 64% 60% 73% 70% 65%
Wrong dir. 38 20 36 57 41 34 27 28 17 21 27

Recently Lynch Signed A Law That Grants Same-Sex Couples
The Right To Marry In NH; As A Result Of This,
Would You Say You Are More/Less Likely To Vote For His Reelection?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
More likely 19% 38% 12% 2% 16% 22% 18% 16% 22% 17%
Less likely 28 10 24 49 31 26 27 23 29 35
No effect 52 52 62 48 53 51 55 60 49 46

Ohio - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/26-7/1; surveyed 1,259 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 445 GOPers and 483 Dems; margins of error +/- 4.6% and +/- 4.5%, respectively (release, 7/7). Tested: ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R), car dealer Tom Ganley (R), LG Lee Fisher (D) and Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 24% 31% 20% 20% 18% 18%
J. Brunner 21 26 18 16 14 16
Other 2 -- 2 5 19 14
Not vote 3 1 4 1 2 --
Undec 51 42 56 59 46 53

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/4
R. Portman 33% 39% 25% 29%
T. Ganley 10 11 9 8
Other 1 1 1 9
Not vote 2 3 -- 1
Undec 55 46 65 54

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 37% 5% 76% 28% 33% 40% 42% 41% 42%
R. Portman 33 72 4 31 41 27 31 33 27
Other 2 -- -- 3 2 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 -- 1 3 2 1 -- 2 1
Undec 26 22 19 35 21 31 26 24 29

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
J. Brunner 35% 5% 71% 26% 31% 39% 40% 39% 38%
R. Portman 34 72 5 32 42 27 32 34 28
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 -- -- 1 1
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 2 1 -- 2 1
Undec 29 23 23 39 24 33 27 25 31

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher 36% 5% 73% 26% 32% 39%
T. Ganley 30 65 4 29 38 24
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 1 1 1 2 1
Undec 31 28 22 42 26 36

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
J. Brunner 35% 6% 71% 23% 31% 38%
T. Ganley 31 67 4 30 38 25
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2 3 1
Undec 31 25 23 44 26 35

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/4 3/15
L. Fisher 29%/17% 14%/32% 49%/ 6% 24%/15% 37%/13% 32%/13%
J. Brunner 27 /16 9 /31 46 / 4 24 /14 31 /12 31 /14
R. Portman 21 / 6 35 / 1 8 / 9 23 / 6 22 / 9 25 / 7
T. Ganley 12 / 4 19 / 2 6 / 7 11 / 3 6 / 4 na

Fisher As LG
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4
Approve 39% 26% 58% 32% 38% 40% 49%
Disapprove 24 36 10 23 30 18 17

Brunner As Sec/State
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 38% 22% 60% 32% 37% 39% 45% 41% 44% 39% 38%
Disapprove 25 42 7 27 32 18 20 19 16 28 12

Voinovich As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 52% 60% 53% 46% 49% 55% 55% 52% 55% 51% 51%
Disapprove 29 28 23 35 39 21 30 32 29 31 32

Brown As Sen.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 41% 29% 58% 37% 36% 46% 52% 48% 51% 48% 51%
Disapprove 29 32 12 32 39 19 24 25 22 26 23

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/26-7/1; surveyed 1,259 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 445 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 7/3). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D), ex-Sen. Mike DeWine (R), ex-Rep. John Kasich (R) and state Sen. Kevin Coughlin (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
J. Kasich 35% 42% 27% 23% 27% 22%
M. DeWine 32 29 34 35 32 37
K. Coughlin 3 5 1 2 2 3
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 --
Not vote 2 3 -- 1 1 --
Undec 29 21 37 37 37 37

General Election Matchups
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
T. Strickland 43% 10% 83% 34% 38% 47% 51% 51% 56%
J. Kasich 38 76 7 36 45 32 32 31 26
Other 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 2 -- 1 2 1
Undec 16 12 9 26 12 20 16 15 16

- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
T. Strickland 41% 10% 78% 35% 37% 45% 48% 50% 54%
M. DeWine 40 77 12 37 45 35 36 34 32
Other 2 2 -- 3 2 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 4 3 1 1 2 1
Undec 15 10 9 22 11 18 14 12 11

Fav/Unfav
- All GOP Dem Ind 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland 42%/37% 20%/64% 70%/11% 39%/40% 53%/25% 54%/26%
M. DeWine 39 /22 62 /12 26 /27 33 /26 39 /28 40 /25
J. Kasich 26 / 7 43 / 3 11 /10 25 / 7 22 / 7 21 / 6
K. Coughlin 5 / 3 8 / 1 3 / 4 4 / 4 3 / 3 4 / 2

Strickland As Gov.
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11
Approve 46% 26% 70% 42% 44% 48% 57% 56% 63% 54% 60%
Disapprove 42 63 20 45 47 38 29 30 25 25 25

OH Legislature Job Approval
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 12/8 8/11 11/07 9/07
Approve 31% 26% 39% 26% 30% 32% 36% 46% 42% 41% 38%
Disapprove 49 55 39 53 55 43 40 35 41 32 37

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/11 6/08
Yes 34% 19% 53% 31% 35% 34% 44% 46% 46% 44% 47% 46%
No 40 56 23 44 44 38 32 30 27 26 31 3

Strickland Handling Economy
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2
Approve 33% 17% 52 30% 34% 33% 43% 39% 44%
Disapprove 53 73 32 57 57 50 43 45 37

Strickland Handling OH Budget
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8
Approve 32% 15% 51% 27% 31% 32% 43% 44% 48% 41%
Disapprove 53 73 32 58 58 49 40 36 30 31

Do You Support/Oppose Legalized Casino Gambling In OH?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 8/11
Support 60% 54% 65% 60% 65% 56% 61%
Oppose 36 43 32 33 33 38 34

Would You Support/Oppose A Law That Would Allow
Same-Sex Couples To Get Married?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+
Support 33% 16% 47% 35% 24% 42% 46% 32% 28%
Oppose 60 82 46 56 70 52 52 61 65

Would You Support/Oppose A Law That Would Allow
Civil Unions For Same-Sex Couples?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+
Support 46% 33% 53% 50% 40% 51% 59% 45% 39%
Oppose 47 62 40 39 53 40 37 49 51

Do You Think Same-Sex Couples Should Be Allowed Legally To Marry,
Should Be Allowed Legally To Form Civil Unions But Not Marry,
Or Should Not Be Allowed To Obtain Legal Recognition
Of Their Relationships?
- All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ 8/07
Marry 28% 13% 42% 27% 20% 35% 42% 27% 21% 23%
Civil unions 29 31 23 34 29 28 27 29 29 29
No recognition 36 50 28 30 42 30 28 38 39 37

Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Virginia - Governor (2009)

Governor 2009
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/30-7/2; surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 7/7). Party ID Breakdown: 34%D, 33%R, 33%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
B. McDonnell 49% 55% 44% 4% 91% 54% 56% 16% 44%
C. Deeds 43 39 45 86 7 33 38 68 33
Undec 8 6 11 9 2 14 6 16 22
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
B. McDonnell 51%/32% 11%/63% 85%/ 8% 59%/23%
C. Deeds 48 /29 80 / 3 21 /50 41 /3

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

New Jersey - Governor (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll; conducted 6/22-29; surveyed 803 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D) and ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/5 3/2 1/7
C. Christie 45% 20% 45% 83% 42% 41% 33%
J. Corzine 39 66 21 7 33 32 40
Undec 15 13 30 10 25 27 26

Regardless Of Who You Want To Win, Who Would You Guess Is Going To Win In Nov.?
- All Dem Ind GOP
J. Corzine 46% 61% 34% 31%
C. Christie 38 25 45 57
Undec 15 13 20 11

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/5 3/2
C. Christie 34%/25% 20%/36% 38%/17% 54%/11% 31%/12% 30%/ 6%
J. Corzine 31 /54 48 /37 17 /64 13 /77 33 /56 38 /48
Which Candidate Is Better Described By ___?
- Corzine Christie
Has background/experience to be good gov. 42% 29%
Understands the concerns of the avg. person 28 40
Honest, trustworthy 24 33

How Would You Rate The Job Corzine Is Doing As Gov.?
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/29 10/5 9/18
Excellent/good 26% 43% 12% 6% 27% 30% 32% 34% 31% 31%
Only fair/poor 70 55 83 91 71 68 66 63 66 66

Do You Approve/Disapprove Of The Job Corzine Is Doing As Gov.?
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/29 10/5 9/18 6/08
Approve 36% 58% 19% 12% 40% 40% 46% 46% 45% 41% 40%
Disapprove 49 26 58 80 49 46 40 37 39 43 41

Direction Of NJ
- All Dem Ind GOP 4/5 3/2 1/7 10/29 10/5 9/18 6/08
Right dir. 21% 33% 12% 6% 23% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 25%
Wrong dir. 66 49 74 88 64 59 65 65 67 67 64

New York - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)

A Marist College poll; conducted 6/23-25; surveyed 1,003 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 441 Dems and 281 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.7% and +/- 5.8%, respectively (release, 7/1). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-14), Rep. Pete King (R-03) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 4/29
C. Maloney 38% 31%
K. Gillibrand 37 36
Undec 25 33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 4/29 2/26
G. Pataki 51% 48% 56%
P. King 36 36 32
Undec 13 16 12

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 1/26
K. Gillibrand 46% 61% 27% 45% 38% 45% 44%
G. Pataki 42 29 63 42 46 41 42
Undec 12 10 10 13 16 14 14

- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 1/26
K. Gillibrand 48% 64% 27% 50% 42% 49% 49%
P. King 32 18 56 28 31 28 24
Undec 20 18 17 21 27 23 27

Gillibrand As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26
Excellent/good 24% 26% 22% 25% 19% 18%
Fair/poor 43 41 48 43 38 32

Schumer As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 10/08 4/08 3/07
Excellent/good 54% 68% 36% 47% 55% 57% 55% 57% 57%
Fair/poor 42 29 61 47 39 38 33 37 32

Governor (2010)


A Marist College poll; conducted 6/23-25; surveyed 1,003 RVs; margin of
error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 441 Dems and 281 GOPers; margins of error
+/- 4.7% and +/- 5.8%, respectively (release, 6/30). Tested: Tested:
Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy
Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio
(R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 69% 70% 62%
D. Paterson 24 21 26
Undec 7 9 12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 4/29 2/26
R. Giuliani 77% 75% 78%
R. Lazio 16 14 17
Undec 7 11 5

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 1/26 11/18 10/08 4/08
R. Giuliani 54% 32% 84% 59% 56% 53% 47% 41% 42% 44%
D. Paterson 37 60 9 30 32 38 46 51 51 48
Undec 9 8 7 11 12 9 7 8 7 8

- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26
D. Paterson 41% 63% 15% 39% 37% 47%
R. Lazio 40 22 68 40 40 35
Undec 19 16 17 21 23 18

- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 51% 73% 21% 48% 55% 56%
R. Giuliani 43 23 75 44 38 39
Undec 6 4 4 9 7 5

- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 68% 83% 48% 67% 67% 71%
R. Lazio 22 10 40 21 22 20
Undec 10 7 12 12 11 9

Paterson As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15 12/8
Excellent/good 21% 28% 18% 17% 19% 26% 46% 44% 54%
Fair/poor 76 70 80 78 77 71 48 48 35

Cuomo As AG
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 10/08 4/08 7/07
Excellent/good 67% 74% 60% 63% 70% 71% 50% 59% 52%
Fair/poor 27 20 36 30 25 23 34 34 37

Direction Of NY
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29 2/26 10/08 4/08 3/07 10/06
Right dir. 21% 30% 13% 17% 27% 27% 35% 33% 49% 35%
Wrong dir. 74 65 85 78 67 65 57 59 43 56

Paterson Handling Economic Crisis
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/29
Approve 31% 36% 24% 32% 23%
Disapprove 61 56 70 61 68

Paterson Is A Good Leader For NY
- All Dem GOP Ind
Agree 31% 39% 22% 30%
Disagree 65 57 76 65

Paterson Is Changing The Way Things Work In Albany For The Better
- All Dem GOP Ind
Agree 27% 31% 21% 28%
Disagree 68 63 74 68

Paterson Cares About People Like You
- All Dem GOP Ind
Agree 47% 59% 35% 44%
Disagree 47 36 59 52

Florida - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)

A Club for Growth poll; conducted 6/13-14 by Basswood Research (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/30). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

Primary Election Matchup
C. Crist 51%
M. Rubio 31
Governor (2010)
A Ron Sachs Comm. poll; conducted 6/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 5.7% (release, 6/30). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and developer/artist/urban planner/author Michael Arth (D).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Sink 49%
M. Arth 4
Undec 47

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. McCollum 53%
P. Dockery 4
Undec 43

General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/18
B. McCollum 41% 46% 36% 16% 71% 41% 40%
A. Sink 35 32 38 66 4 27 34
Undec 24 22 26 18 25 32 26

- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
A. Sink 43% 41% 45% 67% 18% 37%
P. Dockery 18 22 14 4 35 14
Undec 39 37 41 29 47 49

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP 5/18
B. McCollum 29%/13% na 39%/ 4% 29%/12%
A. Sink 24 / 9 40%/ 6% na 24 / 3
P. Dockery 3 / 2 na 8 / 3 na
M. Arth 1 /-- 1 /-- na na

Connecticut - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)

A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/24-25 for businessman Peter Schiff (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/29). Tested: Schiff, Sen. Chris Dodd (D) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups
C. Dodd 42% R. Simmons 47%
P. Schiff 38 C. Dodd 38
Undec 20 Undec 15
 
PRIVACY POLICY | SEARCH LCV | FEEDBACK | CONTACT | JOBS | CONTRIBUTE League of Conservation Voters

1920 L Street, Suite 800

Washington, DC 20036